I've been using computers since 1979. "I've seen things you people wouldn't believe..."
Back in the early 80's the Commodore 64 was a huge success. Not because it was the greatest computer, but because it had all the games. A lot of people bought a 64, and after messing around with Basic for a while, they started using it for what it was intended: An Atari killer. It's like with a popular night club. They can serve diluted drinks, have a lousy dj and rude security. If everybody else is going there, that's where you go friday night. Because none of the early home computers were compatible, there was this "snap" effect of more and more people deciding on the 64, making it even more attractive to others. Both users and developers.
Then came the PC clones, and the anarchy that brought. Remember when IBM realized that they made a major mistake by making the PC architecture open? They tried to use their status to dictate a new computer with a new OS (PS2+OS/2). But they underestimated the C64-effect. Everybody started buying Taiwan clones, which were extremely cheap, and IBM compatible. Who cared about GUI's, when your games still ran DOS?
The gaming industry gave rise to another demand. More power! More GPU/CPU, more memory, larger screens, quicker HDD's etc. At that time I worked on Silicon Graphics workstations, and I watched them being overtaken by Nvidia and PC's. SGI gave up, and the PC went ahead. And I started using Nvidia and Intel, instead of SGI. A lot cheaper, and way faster...
Then I started building multiprocessor PC's, eagerly awaiting PC software that could handle the CPU's. When Intel and AMD started mass producing 4 or more core CPU's, I thought that the consumer market finally realized that the road to faster computers, wasn't clock frequency, but parallel computing. All this time I was using computers for heavy applications, and when I watched people I knew, and their needs (mail/web), I found it puzzling, that Moore's law kept on going. But then again, don't underestimate the power of gamers.
The "Back2Mac" event, brought me little hope. Lion seems to be first step towards turning OSX into IOS. Personally, I would rather see another route, but I'm aware, that I'm not really the main target of Apple.
The computer industry is guided/forced by the demand of the public. The consumers. Not Nasa or the film industry. The iToys are perfectly suited for that market, and another spot-on by Steve Jobs. I've enjoyed the ride so far. I've seen cheaper and better hardware, and following along better software. All driven, not by my nerdy needs, but the average consumers. So far so good. But I'm scared for the future of the computer. Maybe they will turn into special high end (high price) devices, for research and wealthy nerds. Or maybe the iPad 2017 will feature 3D holographic projector, 256 core CPU, mind controlled UI, a huge SSD raid, and all that stuff. All demanded by WOW and Quake27...
Best regards EDBBOB