I think you need to think bigger. This is Apple and this has been cooking for years. Apple always has samples from Intel well in advance and the are not switching from Intel to just get few % increase. They will completely humiliate Intel and I would guess that the first AS will probably be at least 50% faster than the same from Intel. AT LEAST!
The performance Apple will soon show us will be insane. Just see how much power you have in your iPhone/iPad and now take that to computers with active cooling and scaling and damn we are in for a massive treat.
There is no way Apple is going to release first AS that would only have 10-20% speed increase. The press would have a blast with it and there is no marketing to spin. It would have negative impact on the transition and it would leave a bad taste to many customers. No no no, the first AS will be huge in each category and at least 50% faster if not much more.
This is not fanboy talking - we all know that I can be very critical of Apple. This is just common sense practical thinking with history taken into an account.
Its gonna be massive, believe me
The performance Apple will soon show us will be insane. Just see how much power you have in your iPhone/iPad and now take that to computers with active cooling and scaling and damn we are in for a massive treat.
There is no way Apple is going to release first AS that would only have 10-20% speed increase. The press would have a blast with it and there is no marketing to spin. It would have negative impact on the transition and it would leave a bad taste to many customers. No no no, the first AS will be huge in each category and at least 50% faster if not much more.
This is not fanboy talking - we all know that I can be very critical of Apple. This is just common sense practical thinking with history taken into an account.
Its gonna be massive, believe me
I do not doubt the capability of AS , but I am questioning if a single SoC can replace the performance a 125W CPU plus a 225W GPU in one cost efficient package. The chip must be very large to have all these functions along with all the other AS functions. Large chips cost lots of money. OK, 5 nm process helps as it nearly halves (?) the area of the chip.
Some dirty calculations: If we use a A12Z as multiple, we would need about 8 to get 12 TFLOPS GPU (assume 1.5 TFLOPS/A12Z) and perhaps 23000 multicore score (8* Geekbench score (2900) of the development unit) which would be decent performance. "Decent" as more CPU power than a 28 core xeon and an 5700XT.
That setup would draw about 80W (assuming the power draw scale linear) but be >1000mm2 (8*136mm2) on 7nm, which is huge and not doable at least not payable. 5 nm plus better balance between CPU (which is too much in the example above) and GPU (which is appropriate performance) would lead to a chip of a size of perhaps 300-400 mm2, which is doable and payable. 80W would fit a MBP16 or an iMac Air.
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There is an excellent Mac Pro mini in the form of the trashcan MP. Cooling like an iMac Pro.