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prefuse07

Suspended
Jan 27, 2020
895
1,073
San Francisco, CA
Well.. I hope we won’t go into winter 2.0 again.

But I was talking about the tech space as a whole. New opportunities, come backs, fight backs, challenging status quos, Browser+OS wars, rewriting CG apps, going dinosaur overnight (presumably), disruptive takes on existing paradigms and an ongoing tech bubble burst (dot com era), de globalisation (reversing economic paradigms)

We’ll see when the dust settles.
Yeah, I wasn't implying the same fate will occur, just looking at the recursion of it all
 

AndreeOnline

macrumors 6502a
Aug 15, 2014
704
495
Zürich
Oh how about this old chestnut where you dictate how people should talk and express themselves, quite literally...
I am afraid that you don't actually get it.

I can say how I believe the world should work. You get to say how you think the world should work.
But you don't get to say how I believe the world works.

Or perhaps like this:

I can say: "I think you should to this or that!" (that's me representing my opinion = fine)
I can't say: "You did or felt this or that!" (that's me representing your actions or opinions = not fine)

I am absolutely fine with, and agree, that you are 100% entitled to your opinion. That is not the same as agreeing with that opinion. And by the way, in that last bit of your post, can you see how you did that again: you are telling me what I'm doing? It looks like this:

"I'm also fine that you do not extend the same courtesy to others." (you representing me)​
That is not OK. You should have written:
"It seems like you don't extend the same courtesy to others." (you representing you)​

The last time we had this kind of discussion, in the thread you quote from, you ended up being banned. Let's not do that again.

During the last two weeks, I've come to realize a couple of things about the forum. I don't expect to keep trying to raise the bar in these threads. It would be good if the content of this post sinks in. These seemingly small changes in phrasing make all the difference.

It's OK to be opinionated—we have all been. Let's stick to our own opinions and keep the language civilized.
 
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treehuggerpro

macrumors regular
Oct 21, 2021
111
124
Please stick it.

All of Gurman's very early chip leaks panned out on Apple's eventual delivery. I hope he's wrong now, or perhaps only has half the picture, but I don't see any rationale for him to suddenly drop into pure speculation on the extreme being cancelled. He admits to educated guesses in some of his commentary, but what, educated or not, would have caused him to U-turn on the earlier info?
 
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ZombiePhysicist

Suspended
May 22, 2014
2,884
2,794
I am afraid that you don't actually get it.

I can say how I believe the world should work. You get to say how you think the world should work.
But you don't get to say how I believe the world works.

Or perhaps like this:

I can say: "I think you should to this or that!" (that's me representing my opinion = fine)
I can't say: "You did or felt this or that!" (that's me representing your actions or opinions = not fine)

I am absolutely fine with, and agree, that you are 100% entitled to your opinion. That is not the same as agreeing with that opinion. And by the way, in that last bit of your post, can you see how you did that again: you are telling me what I'm doing? It looks like this:

"I'm also fine that you do not extend the same courtesy to others." (you representing me)​
That is not OK. You should have written:
"It seems like you don't extend the same courtesy to others." (you representing you)​

The last time we had this kind of discussion, in the thread you quote from, you ended up being banned. Let's not do that again.

During the last two weeks, I've come to realize a couple of things about the forum. I don't expect to keep trying to raise the bar in these threads. It would be good if the content of this post sinks in. These seemingly small changes in phrasing make all the difference.

It's OK to be opinionated—we have all been. Let's stick to our own opinions and keep the language civilized.

Infinite irony machine.

I get it now. You get to tell people how they should do things. You tell us how WE get to think about your and others' posts. Got it.
 
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AndreeOnline

macrumors 6502a
Aug 15, 2014
704
495
Zürich
Shall we perhaps, get back on topic (just saying)? ;)
As soon as possible, I assure you.

I get it now.
Are you really sure? Because...

You get to tell people how they should do things. You tell us how WE get to think about your and others' posts. Got it.
You actually have my quote just above in the same post where I say that I get to express my opinion and you get to express your opinion.

I hope you understand that it is completely impossible to "discuss" things where words lose all meaning. I'm starting to look for hidden cameras in my apartment because this sure feels like a joke.
But I'll say this: I'll exit this discussion now and let our respective posts just sit there for a while, doing their own thing.

You do seem to have some support for your arguments from a small circle of people, whereas no one agrees with me. It's a bit of a head-scratcher seeing as I just want constructive and polite discussions, but I guess if I'd bring a Tomahawk steak to a vegan cookout, it would be similarly awkward. Which isn't the same as saying Tomahawks suck—just stating the obvious.

I think that's it.
 
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Mago

macrumors 68030
Aug 16, 2011
2,789
912
Beyond the Thunderdome
All of Gurman's very early chip leaks panned out on Apple's eventual delivery. I hope he's wrong now, or perhaps only has half the picture, but I don't see any rationale for him to suddenly drop into pure speculation on the extreme being cancelled. He admits to educated guesses in some of his commentary, but what, educated or not, would have caused him to U-turn on the earlier info?
I don't know, the basic problem with Gurman letters is he actually have no cues on how hardware is developed and manufactured, to begin with that, Gurman's rationale even lacks any logic (not releasing m2 extreme on silicon availability), I need a lot of salt to eat that (didn't you?).

I could legit fear on Apple having a technical challenge going from 2 to 4 way UltraFusion fabric interconnect, but as I work in the area unless apple hired incompetent engineers (discard it, current staff it's All-stars) not in knowledge on how to scale a CPU fabric before sending it to the foundries, no I can't believe apple sent M2 Max to production having issues with a 4 Way Ultra Fusion.... Do you believe it could happen between an All-stars r&d engineers team repeating the work they previously done at AMD, Intel etc? No I don't buy neither apple cancelled m2 ultra Extreme on silicon availability neither m2 max has scalability issues.

Maybe Gurman got an fake tip he can't filter given his lack of background on hardware r&d.

I'm quite confident on apple delivering a quad m2 max aka M2 extreme Mac Pro. Also discret DDR5 ram (no cue if DIMM, SO-DIMM or custom socket).

A separate thing that is under radar is m2 pro also seems has inbuilt ultra fusion (two ways), maybe apple plan is to differentiate even more Mac studio m2 Ultra from M2 Extreme (I'll begin naming it M2 modular as seem it will grow in x1,x2, x3,X4 steps, and support discreet PCIe and Ram what's is not part of m1 ultra (Mac studio) non modular.

About GPU is where I felt short, is quite confusing, since AMD Radeon keeps r&d teams going to Cupertino the same also seems apple is developing an huge PCIe x16 peripherals (an afterburner 2.0? Or an GPU accelerator build on defective m2 max with disabled CPU cores but working usable GPU cores?), Given the resources apple has on hands, only thing safe to discard is disappointement.

That's my mostly safe speculation (I'm no one at Apple, neither I got in touch with Apple staff leaking información, all this comes from my imagination fueled by pot beers and unhealthy food, lets set it clear I'm not a leaker for all legal purposes and liabilities, I just write here a bunch of ideas if coincidence happens its merely luck, no insider información -hi Apple legal-).

Regards from wizard's land.
 
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Mago

macrumors 68030
Aug 16, 2011
2,789
912
Beyond the Thunderdome
M2 Max has provisions for not One but: Two ultrafusion.

Maybe serial stackable in 1,2,3...4? "Sockets" plus a mega I/o phy.

So the m2 Mac pro cpu complex likely to look like this:
Code:
  SSD «» [PHY I/O] «» (mux) PCIe5 ... 4, usb4
           (UF+)
Ram (RCD) [M2 Max] (RCD) Ram
           (UF+)
Ram (RCD) [M2 Max] (RCD) Ram
           (UF+)
Ram (RCD) [M2 Max] (RCD) Ram
           (UF+)
Ram (RCD) [M2 Max] (RCD) Ram

I'm leaving it here while slowly I leave the room...
Just to remember I posted it here Way before Gurman, Proser etc
 
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Joe The Dragon

macrumors 65816
Jul 26, 2006
1,031
524
And this is where my skepticism that Gurman has realistic leaks about Apple doing a "high spec" VR headset come from - the highest end headsets, the ones you're spending USD$5-6k on, from companies who supply for simulation to militaries and aviation training (flight sim nerds), are waaaaay above the capabilities of a single 4090 in terms of resolution, frame rate, and colour depth demands. The consistent view of them is that the current cutting edge of headsets is still above the current cutting edge of GPUs, and headsets are going to continue raising that bar for at least the next decade.

Apple does not have a GPU to feed a high resolution headset.

Apple is not going to have an AS GPU to feed a high resolution headset.

There's an evolutionary war going on between GPUs and headsets, making fast predators & prey, and Apple is off making ground parrots in their technological New Zealand.
militaries? well maybe apple needs an easy way to nuke storage / change the boot disk.
and no DFU mode that needs an 2th system may not fit that bill. (in some cases need to have an disk that can be destroyed) DID you know that dell and others have an warranty that does let you destroy an failed disk and still get an warranty replacement + on site service. Will apple ever do that?
 

treehuggerpro

macrumors regular
Oct 21, 2021
111
124
That's my mostly safe speculation (I'm no one at Apple, neither I got in touch with Apple staff leaking información, all this comes from my imagination fueled by pot beers and unhealthy food, lets set it clear I'm not a leaker for all legal purposes and liabilities, I just write here a bunch of ideas if coincidence happens its merely luck, no insider información -hi Apple legal-).

Regards from wizard's land.

lol, well I certainly hope your version of realty comes to pass, it sounds a lot better than Gurman's current line.

Gurman's rationale even lacks any logic (not releasing m2 extreme on silicon availability), I need a lot of salt to eat that (didn't you?).

Yes, but I assume he acquires snippets of detail bobbing around within Apple's food chain, from which he attempts to construct his own narratives. The narratives, or reasoning, wrapped around whatever nuggets he receives are likely complete fiction, and pretty obvious fiction at times, but if the details of his sources turn out correct, that's what counts on his credibility scorecard.

I would suspect the actual reasoning or motivations behind Apple's executive decisions rarely, if ever, trickle far from their origin, but the results of those decisions ultimately have to become more widely known, and that's where you'd expect the leaks come from.
 

Rickroller

macrumors regular
May 21, 2021
114
45
Melbourne, Australia
I don't know, the basic problem with Gurman letters is he actually have no cues on how hardware is developed and manufactured, to begin with that, Gurman's rationale even lacks any logic (not releasing m2 extreme on silicon availability), I need a lot of salt to eat that (didn't you?).

I could legit fear on Apple having a technical challenge going from 2 to 4 way UltraFusion fabric interconnect, but as I work in the area unless apple hired incompetent engineers (discard it, current staff it's All-stars) not in knowledge on how to scale a CPU fabric before sending it to the foundries, no I can't believe apple sent M2 Max to production having issues with a 4 Way Ultra Fusion.... Do you believe it could happen between an All-stars r&d engineers team repeating the work they previously done at AMD, Intel etc? No I don't buy neither apple cancelled m2 ultra Extreme on silicon availability neither m2 max has scalability issues.

Maybe Gurman got an fake tip he can't filter given his lack of background on hardware r&d.

I'm quite confident on apple delivering a quad m2 max aka M2 extreme Mac Pro. Also discret DDR5 ram (no cue if DIMM, SO-DIMM or custom socket).

A separate thing that is under radar is m2 pro also seems has inbuilt ultra fusion (two ways), maybe apple plan is to differentiate even more Mac studio m2 Ultra from M2 Extreme (I'll begin naming it M2 modular as seem it will grow in x1,x2, x3,X4 steps, and support discreet PCIe and Ram what's is not part of m1 ultra (Mac studio) non modular.

About GPU is where I felt short, is quite confusing, since AMD Radeon keeps r&d teams going to Cupertino the same also seems apple is developing an huge PCIe x16 peripherals (an afterburner 2.0? Or an GPU accelerator build on defective m2 max with disabled CPU cores but working usable GPU cores?), Given the resources apple has on hands, only thing safe to discard is disappointement.

That's my mostly safe speculation (I'm no one at Apple, neither I got in touch with Apple staff leaking información, all this comes from my imagination fueled by pot beers and unhealthy food, lets set it clear I'm not a leaker for all legal purposes and liabilities, I just write here a bunch of ideas if coincidence happens its merely luck, no insider información -hi Apple legal-).

Regards from wizard's land.
I started a thread about the possibility of a dual M2 Pro chip, so it’s pretty interesting that you think this a real thing. Is there any factual information confirming that this a thing…?

I also have to agree with you on the big chip, whatever they call it being real. I’m betting it’s literally going to be a shock to the (current) system!
 

treehuggerpro

macrumors regular
Oct 21, 2021
111
124
And then there's the possibility of something like this . . .

I'm pretty much convinced this is where the Mac Pro is going given this year's "Accelerating machine learning with Metal" WWDC talk where they connected 4 M1 Ultra Studios together with thunderbolt.

View attachment 2149673 View attachment 2149674

Nobody wants to pay $20k for 4x Mac Studios cobbled together with thunderbolt, but $10k for 4x "Studios" connected together via PCI-e could be very interesting....

. . . which @jmho posted in another thread, hope you don't mind me re-posting here 🙂.

If Gurman's info on the M2 extreme is correct, he may only have half the picture. It could be because the economics of producing MPX like modules of M2 Ultra and/or M2 Ultra duo makes more sense than producing an extreme version under whatever the current manufacturing reality is.

I think it's interesting that the M1 Ultra Studio still has a 3-4 week lead time ten months on from release and for most the time since release, has been sitting at between 8-12 weeks. I assume the bottleneck, for some reason, has to be the production of the M1 Ultra chip.
 
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Mago

macrumors 68030
Aug 16, 2011
2,789
912
Beyond the Thunderdome
M1 Ultra Studio still has a 3-4 weeks
Reality is A bunch of enthusiast directly opted by the M1 Ultra.
If Gurman's info on the M2 extreme is correct, he may only have half the picture. It could be because the economics of producing MPX like modules of M2 Ultra and/or M2 Ultra duo makes more sense than producing an extreme version under whatever the current manufacturing reality is.
The Shortcomings from a Lego-SOC scalability issues are enough topic for a whole thread, Machine Learning with Mac Daisy-Chained is nothing new, I used some frameworks doing the same thing a decade ago, it dont pay as much as having a true 4P machine loaded with True Accelerators.

Two M2 Ultra barely matches a Single Amd MI200 you can install 2 of these in the cheese grater 7,1; I'm confident Apple either to enable AMD dGPU in M2 Mac Pro, or even manufacture its own compute accelerators, maybe recycling M2 Max/ Pro Chips with defective cores disabled and custom firmware to behave as an slave peripheral, it would be really smart, saving Silicon and Power the same time keeps the Mac GPU proprietary, or maybe Apple just build and updated Afterburner 2.0 based on commercial ASICs related to codec transcoding and ML.
 

Rickroller

macrumors regular
May 21, 2021
114
45
Melbourne, Australia
Only information safe to share with you is watch at the transistor count rise relative to prior generation, then compare it with M2 Max transistor count rise, evidently something big was added.

Maybe I know more about, but nothing I could comment here.
Thanks.

just checked, and there is a ~5% increase vs the M2 Max difference. That is its 20% increase in transistors vs the 15% increase for M2 Max vs M1 Max. Yeah it’s a lot more than what would be need for the two low power cores and three GPU cores…even with the new neural engine. A lot to ponder.

If you don’t mind answering another question, are the weird holes seen in the die images possible TSV holes…? As in can silicon be added to the top of the new dies such as more memory…?
 

Rickroller

macrumors regular
May 21, 2021
114
45
Melbourne, Australia
Thanks.

just checked, and there is a ~5% increase vs the M2 Max difference. That is its 20% increase in transistors vs the 15% increase for M2 Max vs M1 Max. Yeah it’s a lot more than what would be need for the two low power cores and three GPU cores…even with the new neural engine. A lot to ponder.

If you don’t mind answering another question, are the weird holes seen in the die images possible TSV holes…? As in can silicon be added to the top of the new dies such as more memory…?
Oh well…no big deal as long as what gets released is performant.
 

Mago

macrumors 68030
Aug 16, 2011
2,789
912
Beyond the Thunderdome
Oh well…no big deal as long as what gets released is performant.
Apple is using TSMC inFo ls this time as cowos technically is 3D packaging but actually used as bridges, cowos implies that chiplets are placed on top a single big Base chip, while inFo-ls only uses an Small silicon bridge, this is meaningful as CoWoS-S besides expensive restricts the architecture arrangements as the lineal arrangements required by m2 'stacked' at edges would require extensive silicon waffers, meanwhile inFo only silicon is the bridge itself, both placed on top of either copper or other substrates, it allows bigger linear chiplets arrays.
 

IconDRT

macrumors member
Aug 18, 2022
84
170
Seattle, WA
The 8,1 will be a modernized take on the 6,1 that rises like a Phoenix from its thermal corner and arrives fully loaded with up to four custom M3X Ultras (80 CPU cores, 256 GPU cores, 1TB RAM), two each on two of the sides of the thermal core, the third side accommodating the optional dedicated Afterburner and Raytracing packages, Thunderbolt 4, eGPU support, HDMI, headphone jack, and SD Card slot.

Between now and WWDC, I’ll share all DMs I receive from Apple’s legal department.
 

EugW

macrumors G5
Jun 18, 2017
14,904
12,880
Mac Studio is the new trashcan. Well, it's more like a Mac mini on steroids but arguably they're all distant relatives of the Cube.

The tower Mac Pro is a completely different kettle of fish.
 
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