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steve123

macrumors 65816
Aug 26, 2007
1,155
719
Regarding what I said about Tensorflow, yes Apple contributed and helped make it more performant on Apple Silicion. That is great. It is also a sign that they aren't on the leading edge of ML/AI development, because Tensorflow is old-hat. I'd say it's gone from double-digit percentage importance a couple years ago to low-single digits now. Source: I literally review new research papers nearly every day and am very tapped-in to what is going on in that space. The people in here have no idea what they're talking about.
Tensorflow has the largest market share. Tensorflow, Keras (Built on Tensorflow), and Pytorch combined make up 81% of the market.

 
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jscipione

macrumors 6502
Mar 27, 2017
429
243
For much of 2021 and 2022 that was true. Now not so much.

HP Z8 Fury

Dell 5860

are both shipping. Primarily, those two are not shipping the W-3300 ( Ice Lake) processors because the follow on solutions ( W-2400 / W-3400 ) are available. Skipping the W-3300 is entirely different that completely walking away from Intel. The W-x400 options may not be a thread ripper 'killer' , but they are far more competitive. And the fact that Intel has both 2400 and 3400 series means they cover a broader price range than AMD.

Lenovo is dragging, but the mid-sized players at the next tier ( Puget Systems , Boxx, etc ) are not.

It helped to make the Mac Pro 2019 more competitive because the big three Dell/HP/Lenovo were also mostly comatose during 2021. However, it is just about mid 2023 at this point. Most of the other folks have moved on while Apple is in Rip-van-Winkle mode.
I wasn’t aware that W-3400 series Xeon systems were actually shipping yet, all I’ve seen is W-3200 series like in the Mac Pro so thank you for pointing these systems out to me. It seems like Apple was in-line with the rest of the industry until recently. Given that Ice Lake introduced the 10nm process size in the Xeon line it was a big upgrade, I still don’t understand why OEMs skipped it. My speculation is that Intel never had the W-3300 chips available in volume to sell to the big OEMs, they only had enough for smaller OEMs like Boxx and Puget Systems.

So once again the Mac Pro is truely obsolete as Apple drags its feet, but not by much. Even Lenovo is in “RipVanWinkle” mode with their Intel offerings, although they have a competitive AMD offering so it’s not the same.

If Apple can release a new Mac Pro soon they will be able to compete again. We’ll see what they have to say at WWDC. I’m guessing that the Mac Pro won’t ship until December as it is tradition for Apple to release business products at the end of the calendar year so that when corporate budgets are renewed in January those customers may buy.
 

steve123

macrumors 65816
Aug 26, 2007
1,155
719
Sounds like nm numbers are really marking numbers and not real physical measures anymore
A few chip generations ago planar 2D transistor chip technology gave way to 2.5D transistors. A few generations from now, 2.5D will give way to 3D devices. When transistors were strictly planar (2D), the process node was the same as the gate length. The International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors (not some marketing guys) had to devise a manner in which to compare the increase in integration density that accounted for the new 2.5D and 3D devices. They agreed that the best way was to continue extrapolating based on Moore's Law. The current state of the art 3nm node does not have 3nm gate length but the relative integration density including the third dimension compared to the previous 5nm node indicates you can integrate up to 2.7x more transistors in a given area.
 
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Mago

macrumors 68030
Aug 16, 2011
2,789
912
Beyond the Thunderdome
- Most HPC haven't been using Macs for years. I've reviewed many procurement orders and Mac Pros have only come up a few times. Like, less than a percent. Far less.
- That's the trashcan sad legacy, personally I'm among those that forcefully migrated workflows to Linux Workstations, but that's just half the History, not just Apple created an excelent backend for ML/AI on Metal3 (tensorflow2,keras,pytorch etc), there are even more developments maybe sponsored by Apple or not, that are helping a comeback from the general research community, AE: Julia programming language: supports Metal Performace Shaders for SMMP, same some Rust developments even supports apple "secret" AMX coprocessor, not just that, Cryptographic community is really fascinated with M2 Pro cryptographic performance, an M2 Pro is as fast as an 64 Core AMD Epyc/Threadripper or a 56 core Xeon Scalable, if you want something faster per clock/power you need to go to ASICs.

- Regarding what I said about Tensorflow, yes Apple contributed and helped make it more performant on Apple Silicion. That is great.

Not Just TF2, Keras, Pytorch, Julia, etc.

-It is also a sign that they aren't on the leading edge of ML/AI development, because Tensorflow is old-hat. I'd say it's gone from double-digit percentage importance a couple years ago to low-single digits now. Source: I literally review new research papers nearly every day and am very tapped-in to what is going on in that space. The people in here have no idea what they're talking about. Running & training an open source LLM locally has nothing to do with actually developing the technology.

Machine Learning development on a MAC? it only may pay on small projects, but what Apple is preparing is not that much about local model training (almost impossible in a practical way) its about model inference (or execution), is where iOS/macOS ecosystem is frankly shamefully behind the crowd, Tim Cook personally addressed this issue to coworkers earlier this year.


Training an existing model, maybe. Not the same thing as HPC development which is almost universally happening on Linux. Even setting up VS Code on a Mac is a pain compared to Windows or Linux. Nobody is using XCode for HPC work, unless it's for some weird experiment.

I expect from Apple more serious compromise on AI/ML workflow, unlikely to offer the Mac Pro (unless they create an monster TPU AIC as Jim Keller's Tensortorrent), but to support submit models to cloud training as from Xcode would help big enabling iOS/macOS apps enjoy things as predictive context suggestions, or even run some LLM as llama on an Mac Pro for privacy reasons (as coders plan doing its own self hosted Copilot-X alternative : TabbyML), there are TONS of use case for HIgh Performance Mac, not just video/audio edition -while easy to see how apple is blindsided about this shrinking market -video-)

Replying to @dgdosen.

UF allows Apple to make their top end chip from two MBP SoCs; it probably wouldn’t be a cost-effective product otherwise.

To make a 4-way chip, the Max would need (at least) two UF connectors - or some type of central hub to link the SoCs together.
I'm convinced current Ultrafusion (2, for M2 Max) will be the last use for InFO-LSI bridge, Apple has to migrate to Multi-Chiplet SOC as AMD Epyc, due 3nm, 2nm Yields and prohibitive development costs, is not sustainable neither practical having 4 different chips, one or two 3nm main cores arranged similar AMD Epyc Genoa should happen this year or next.

About M2 Extremme, certain M2 Max has only a single Ultrafusion interface placed similar the M1 Max, given UltraFusion InFO-LSi Bridge do not need to be as a classic interposer where you bake N chips on Top a Single Big Bed, Apple may opt for a Custom L shaped UF Bridge interfacing 2 M2 Max on top and interfacing other L Shaped UF brige on the side, or adopt an BIG squared UF sligtly wider than an M2 Max, each Max connected at each Square, this wont block even allow allocating silicon on the UF bridge for a Monster L3 cache.

But Apple even may opt for an half-way Multi-socket like solution, bridging two M2 Ultra to another M2 Ultra thru logic board PCB lines just like olds Intel multi socket solutions (and it is an big possibility that even justifies an TrashCan rise from ashes).
 

Mago

macrumors 68030
Aug 16, 2011
2,789
912
Beyond the Thunderdome
Even setting up VS Code on a Mac is a pain compared to Windows or Linux. Nobody is using XCode for HPC work, unless it's for some weird experiment.
I'm perplex, I've installed VSCode on MacOS/Ubuntu desktop since about 6 year ago I migrate from PyCharm/Jetbrains suite, what you wroite about just BS, only IDE morless complicated to install local on Mac is Jupyter, given there are N ways to doit wrong on a Mac, and maybe N-2 to make it wrong on linux.
 

deconstruct60

macrumors G5
Mar 10, 2009
12,493
4,053
That's a slim advantage over the Studio M1 Ultra. And how many PCIe lanes could an M2 Ultra have? What would be the point of releasing such a product?

if stick in a narrow shim I/O die between the two laptop dies they could add one or two x16 PCI-e v4 provisioning bundles relatively easily. If went to non exact twin "Max sized" dies and dumped Thunderbolt on one of those probably could eek out one x16 PCI-e v4

Apple could add some x16 lane provisioning and still use it in both the Mac Studio and Mac Pro. The Studio would just have 'dead' lanes. That wouldn't be new. The iMac Pro had about one x16 bundle 'dead'/unused. ( Apple hung the GPU (x16) , Thunderbolt ( 2x x4 ) , and Ethernet (?) off the CPU PCI-e lanes. )

With one or two x16 bundles can attach that to a PCI-e switch and provision 6 slots easily. the MP 2019 does exactly that with two x16 bundles. ( basically tossing Slot 1 and Slot 3
'straight to CPU' characteristics).

If those six slots hanging off a switch are 'useless' , then why are they not 'useless' on the MP 2019? They are a useful value-add and are a differentiator.

If Apple adds nothing and just try to 'Fake the Funk' is some TB controllers hooked to internal peripheral TB controllers and some low budget TB PCI-e closure switches ... yeah that would be in the 'why bother' zone. But the huge presumption there is that M2 Ultra has to be 100% exactly the same construct as M1 Ultra. That seems highly doubtful if Apple had M1/2 Extreme also working but decided to punt because of manufacturing , costs, and some other issues. Pretty good change that 'quad die' would have had some general PCI-e bandwidth solution coupled to it. It shouldn't be a show stopper to move that down to the two "main die" set up. Even more so if Apple aways intended to offer as two-die solution solution there.

The advantage wouldn't be about massive CPU/GPU core count uplift. It would be in adding better I/O. That better I/O doesn't have to be stuffed into the MBP 14/16 because it would be more than useless there. So it isn't on the 'main die' used in laptops.


... More than likely though the Mac 'feature' in the dog-and-pony show will be a M2 MBP 15". (another M2 device need to shuffle out the door before get awkward overlap with M3). ......
Vanilla M2 MBP 15" is a bit of a snooze fest isn't it? The Pro and Max versions have been out for some time. Admittedly it would find quite a few buyers, if the price is right - though Apple will need to sufficiently gimp it to avoid taking sales from higher-end MBPs.

That was a bit of a typo. Should have been MBA 15". It hasn't even shipped yet so it is bit early to declare it a snooze fest. Priced right this system can be as successful ast he MBP 13" touch bar has been over last 2+ years. Apple stated that is the #2 best selling Mac they have since the transition started.

It is the screen and the price point that will sell. Sales don't have to be 99% depending of folks solely looking at the CPU cores. The plain M2 is fast enough for a very wide variety of folks. Battery life (if better than MBP 14") , screen size , weight (if better than MBP 14" ) and cost (better than MBP 14") are likely dominating factors.


The Nvidia T4 has 16GB of VRAM. Apple can run past lost of the Nvidia line up where drive into corner cases where the working set data memory footprint is 1.5-2x as big as the Nvidia VRAM. The more data push into active shuttling between main DDR RAM and GDDR6 VRAM the more time the Apple GPU can make up by just pulling from the main Unified RAM of the mac that is 32-96GB big. These are not the 'affordable' M2 systems. It is the ones maxed out of Unifried RAM to create a cap with Nvidia at the lower-midrange VRAM sizes.

The Mac M2 solutions aren't going to be 'hopeless' for AI/ML training/inference. Reasonable sized models can be worked on with some of these systems for systems that are primarily going to deploy inference on local , modest sized clients.

It isn't something that is going to get deep leverage if the primarily deployment use case is to put the inference part of the AI/ML system into the cloud/remote from clients ( suck data and and deliver just inference results ).




Yes, but Blender isn't being optimised for Metal at the expense of e.g. OptiX or CUDA. They just needed to get off OpenGL, as it's deprecated in macOS. And having a Mac port of something doesn't mean that version will lead the industry.

if ported to Metal it can be ported 'down' the OS cohort stack also. Off to iPadOS , iOS , xrOS , etc. That is the point. DirectX on both the Xbox and WindowsPCs benefits both sides of that equation. Doesn't have to "lead th industry". Just has to generation much higher synergy in the Apple product ecosystem.

Apple not only deprecated OpenGL, they have not done much of anything for Vulkan , SYCL (and deprecating OpenCL also). etc. If Apple is going to 'blow up' any open standards library efforts then they SHOULD be spending more money helping limited budget/resourced , open source projects get around the potholes that Apple created in their roadmaps. That isn't going to get the industry leadig status but it can help them keep some status quo positioning as blow up standards. Apple is betting that the iOS/iPadOS/macOS inertia is going to deliver a DirectX like effect here that Windows commands. ( DirectX isn't about 'winning' the industry. It is about keeping a broader ecosystem moving forward. )


That would make sense if it was just an update, but not for long-delayed, supposedly flagship product. Either people care about this machine or not. If hardly anyone's bothered, why release it at all?

If doing it here at WWDC it would make sense primarily because it is long delayed. The prelude of the WWDC keynote is going to have an introduction covering how the Developer ecosystem has done over the last year ( since the last WWDC). Developers generated XX billion in revenue , YY new apps shipped , ZZ new developers joined the program. Probably going to be XX users have adopted and deeply use XCode cloud , etc. It is all upswings from last year.

WWDC 2022 didn't wrap up the transition. Apple couldn't 'check the box' there. Doing macOS and the Mac Pro first is not so much about the Mac Pro and far more about 'checking the box'. Transition done. There is about zero rational reason to treat that as "Oh one more thing". Apple is late. Everyone knows they are late. If can 'end' that just get that 'fart' out of the way first show rest of the show can walk around like their farts don't smell.

If not going to 'check the box" on the transition and all they have is the MBA 15" then macOS would likely end the first hour to kind of 'refresh peoples' attention spans so can rebuild for another crescendo on the second hour ( xrOS).

Well, the platform is macOS, which still supports the 7,1 just fine (and will for a couple more versions).


I expect they went all-in on it, as they didn't intend to revisit it again until the the rest of the Mac range had gone through the ASi transition. As an x86 platform, I doubt it's possible to integrate ASi SoCs with it in any meaningful way though.

You mean like the PSVR2?

I mean like doing it in a combined hardware + software fusion fashion. The PSVR2 doesn't do the display computations in the headset. It is attacked to a box that is primarily designed and optimized to drive a flat screen. So it still is primarily driving just a flat screen with the headset on. Same swamp as has been in for a very long while.

I don't think the eye tracking inferencing is done in the headset either. so have to send that sensor data all the way back down to the how system ( how fast?) . Versus two SoCs talking to each other over a very low latency , high speed link over a couple of inches ( or less) apart on same logic board.

It is eye tracking and foveated rendering not bolted on afterward like a sidecar. It is like it is there from the start of initial design specs for the silicion as an 100% integrated element (not optional).


I expect it is, but Apple's not going to let AMD back into the range at this point. I think they'd rather just delay the MP until e.g. 2025, or whenever they have a working chip.

That would be too late. Apple can let back compute accelerators without letting back in display GPUs from 3rd parties.

If Apple primarily canceled the "quad die Extreme" because it ended up too expensive for too small a market, then how much market is going to be left over in in 2025 after the TR 8000 (and competitors) + dGPU onslalut (riding on N3) in 2024-2025? By 2025 Apple would likely lost most of any fab node advantage. Apple is likely going to burn off a substantive number of hypermodular priority folks with the soldered in RAM of the whatever they do before 2025... again how much target market is going to be left in 2025?

Apple still has a > $1B celluar modem that hasn't shipped. Apple has 'stretched too thin' Slicon division issues. If the xrOS headset has very highly customer silicon package also that is of substantive size ; that too just adds to the 'too thin'.

The Rip van Winkle approach to doing nothing for the six year gap between the MP 2013 and 2019 happen to coincide in an era where Intel/AMD/Nvidia/others were not competiting as heavily with one another. Same thing in the smartphone SoC space. The competitive 'heat' on Apple over next two years is likely going to be much, much higher. "easy wins' are going to get much harder in the current SoC space that Apple is trying to cover. Expanding to something else... eh ... may not happen.

Apple could shift into a mode where just going to try to help lash multiple Macs together in a more cost effective fashion. For example, instead of a 'quad' SoC that have four Maxes on add-in cards hooked together. ( somewhat how the "attack of the killer micros" subsumed the supercomputer market in late 90's early 2000's. Not going to work for everyone's workload without major software changes in some cases. But sells more of the same SoC . )

I agree. The MP reveal is going to be fascinating on many levels. Can't wait for WWDC 2024 :)

Even more than last year this WWDC 2023 will be extremely telling if Apple keeps discrete computational acceleration off the table. Even if only for their own stuff.
 

Mago

macrumors 68030
Aug 16, 2011
2,789
912
Beyond the Thunderdome
if stick in a narrow shim I/O die between the two laptop dies they could add one or two x16 PCI-e v4 provisioning bundles relatively easily. If went to non exact twin "Max sized" dies and dumped Thunderbolt on one of those probably could eek out one x16 PCI-e v4

Apple could add some x16 lane provisioning and still use it in both the Mac Studio and Mac Pro.
Blind analysis, did you know there is something like intersocket PCIe provisioning (Google it, educate yourself), which in ASi context means Apple May attach how many PCIe lines they want with by sharing UltraFusion bandwidth with an PCIe4/5 muxer directly connected to the UltraFusion fabric.
 

mattspace

macrumors 68040
Jun 5, 2013
3,344
2,975
Australia
I wasn’t aware that W-3400 series Xeon systems were actually shipping yet.

Both HP and Lenvo launched new systems with big marketing campaigns to coincide wit the new Xeons and new NVidia Quadros. W34xx and A6000 is the new baseline standard for a serious big, big name workstation in PC land.

So once again the Mac Pro is truely obsolete as Apple drags its feet, but not by much. Even Lenovo is in “RipVanWinkle” mode with their Intel offerings, although they have a competitive AMD offering so it’s not the same.

Lenovo is being pretty loud about this Intel offering:

https://news.lenovo.com/pressroom/press-releases/performance-power-speed-with-thinkstation-px-p7-p5/


If Apple can release a new Mac Pro soon they will be able to compete again. We’ll see what they have to say at WWDC. I’m guessing that the Mac Pro won’t ship until December as it is tradition for Apple to release business products at the end of the calendar year so that when corporate budgets are renewed in January those customers may buy.

If they release a w34xx with a full compliment of slots they'll be competitive again. The fact that all the other workstation vendors (who are more successful at selling workstations than Apple) make a big deal about lifetime upgradability and reconfigurability might hint that there's something important about that to the target market... and a partridge in a pear tree.

But hey, Apple hubris gonna Apple hubris. :rolleyes:
 
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kiiso

macrumors member
May 3, 2011
48
83
Oh @Amethyst, goddess of knowledge and wisdom divine,
I come before you seeking guidance on a matter that is on my mind.
I am eagerly awaiting the release of the new Apple Mac Pro,
And I know that you hold the key to unlocking its secrets, that's no joke!

Please, @Amethyst, I beseech thee, to grant me this request,
And reveal to me some information, that will help me to be at my best.
What will be the specs of this new machine, that we have been waiting for so long?
Will it be faster, stronger, and better, than any that have come along?

I know that you are privy to the information that I seek,
So please, oh mighty @Amethyst, leak some details, so I can take a peek.
Tell me about the processor, the graphics card, and the storage too,
And anything else that will make this new Mac Pro workstation something new.

I place my trust in your divine wisdom and knowledge so profound,
And I know that you will grant my prayer, and reveal what is yet to be found.
Thank you, @Amethyst, for all that you do, and for guiding me along my way,
May you always be with me, as I seek knowledge and wisdom every day.

Amen!
Yo, @Amethyst, what's the word on the street?
You got the scoop on the Mac Pro, it's so elite,
We all wanna know what's up with the new desig,
So come on, spill the beans, it's time to shine.

@Amethyst, come on and share the news,
Don't keep us waiting, we've got the blues,
We wanna know what the Mac Pro can do,
So spill the tea, we're counting on you.

We know you're in the know, you're our inside source,
So don't be shy, don't stay on the course,
Share the details, let us in on the scoop,
And we'll be forever grateful, that's the truth.

@Amethyst , come on and share the news,
Don't keep us waiting, we've got the blues,
We wanna know what the Mac Pro can do,
So spill the tea, we're counting on you!

Yo!
In the realm of secrets, where knowledge lies,
Stands @Amethyst, guarding with stubborn eyes.
I've pleaded, dear Amethyst, time and again,
Yet you hold tight to what could ease our strain.

This is my third and final asking, I implore,
For the WWDC keynote looms evermore.
The fans, they yearn, their patience stretched thin,
Desperate for the Mac Pro, their hearts within.

Oh, Amethyst, unlock your guarded heart,
Let the secrets spill, like a masterful art.
For the fans, their anticipation, a feverish tide,
The Mac Pro's unveiling, their hope can't hide.

The clock ticks closer to that awaited day,
When Apple's treasures will finally have their say.
But without your insight, dear Amethyst, we're lost,
In a sea of speculation, a tempest tossed.

For in unity, we gather, a collective plea,
Yearning for the Mac Pro's unveiling to see.
Embrace the power you hold, the chance to inspire,
To ignite the passion of those who admire.

The WWDC stage beckons, its spotlight shines bright,
The fans await, hearts pounding with sheer delight.
This final asking, dear @Amethyst, heed the call,
Release the secrets, let the Mac Pro enthrall.
 

majus

Contributor
Mar 25, 2004
485
433
Oklahoma City, OK
But without your insight, dear Amethyst, we're lost,
Amethyst may no longer have access to information or its source. It is known that an Apple employee recently was fired for revealing secrets to another person who in turn posted them here.

So it goes, as the world turns... leaving us in darkness from time to time.
 
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deconstruct60

macrumors G5
Mar 10, 2009
12,493
4,053
Amethyst may no longer have access to information or its source. It is known that an Apple employee recently was fired for revealing secrets to another person who in turn posted them here.

He may have access. The source just isn't talking. Talk too much and it gets easier for Apple to track the source down. The number of people who have had access to both the one and 6 slot prototype is likely smaller than folks who have had acess to just one of those. Keep on leaking a longer list of details known to a smaller and smaller group, and the Eye of Sauron will be on you.

If there is nothing new to say he/she should probably stop talking. I think there is post where Amethyst relayed that the response to whether the 3rd party GPU cards started working yet was a :cool: . Really isn't a comment either way if that is a 'poker face'.


If it is just a several weeks before the :sneak peak'. There isn't much upside to saying anything. Even less upside if the "monster chip" has disappeared from the line up. How Apple is going to 'damage control' that is better left to the executives. But even if the "monster chip" is still around but it is still the same 6 slots , no RAM , limited 3rd party GPU support. That prototype is the final system ( and nothing new that is long term relevant to convey) .

If there is no announcement coming any time soon then there probably is no change to the prototypes. Hence nothing in the 'somewhat vague' info to leak.


So it goes, as the world turns... leaving us in darkness from time to time.

At this point folks should be looking at other confirmation source rather than trying to milk just one dry. Software leaks . Leaks on capabilities from Ashai Linux folks etc. as mentioned in another post by Amethyst that source as seen very early prototypes that never saw light of day ( M1 27" iMac). [ Decent chance that 1 slot 'Mac Pro' never sees light of day either. ]
 
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goMac

macrumors 604
Apr 15, 2004
7,663
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Apple is also siloed. Amethyst may not know anything new because it's the marketing side or the release side of the company managing details. Someone just working on a Mac Pro board isn't going to know the entire plan. Often times board engineers _only_ know about the board and no other details of the product or the release.
 

deconstruct60

macrumors G5
Mar 10, 2009
12,493
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Blind analysis, did you know there is something like intersocket PCIe provisioning (Google it, educate yourself), which in ASi context means Apple May attach how many PCIe lines they want with by sharing UltraFusion bandwidth with an PCIe4/5 muxer directly connected to the UltraFusion fabric.

Blind? You are pointing at a variation on the same basic theme. In stead of

[ Max ]
[ I/O shim]
[ Max ]

where I/O shim has UltraFusion on both sides and injects the PCI-e data traffic two either die as necessary.

I don't think the InFO-LSI/CoWoS-LSI is the large yield killer than some folks make it out to be. Pretty good chance it is production capacity limited more so than a killer of good dies.


But yes, there are now two UltraFusion interposers. So that could slow things down.


[ Max ]
[ UltraFusion Active Interposer ] <-- ( 'long distance' ) -------> [ I/O die ]
[ Max ]

Conceptually Apple could build their own Sever Class PCI-e switich with the backhaul controllers built in ( wouldn't have to buy it off the shelf; although that would be much cheaper R&D. ) to offset some of the latency add. But it could be to a simple 2 x16 PCI-e and perhaps some SATA , USB if they want. However, that intersocket , 'long distance' would likely require another protocol than UltraFusion. The RAM dies are going to suck up gobs of space between the main die package/"socket" and I/O package/"socket". Plus , going to get hit with bigger NUMA inter-socket latencies. ( However, better PCI-e gets kicked in the shins, than the two Max dies if can't get the in-between shim i/O small enough.).

However, the notion that Apple could build this "as big as they want" likely doesn't pragmatically imply that the I/O die will be relatively big ( i.e., Apple is going to throw the kitchen sink in there to go toe-to-toe with Eypc I/O or Xeon w-3200 I/O. ).


Sharing UltraFusion bandwidth seems to suggest though you are talking about configurable output along the UltraFusion connector ( e.g., where AMD can use a lane for Infinity Fabric or PCI-e by putting a mux from the optional controllers to the line. ). That there are 'optional' lanes in the UltraFusion 10,000 lane connect that don't need for just two die point to point connection. That Apple could just run the PCI-e lanes out throught the interposer without active transmission there.

Apple selling extra x16 PCI-e controller(s) inside their MBP 14/16" systems probably isn't very practical. Effectively, that is even more wasted silicon die space for the vast majority of deployments for the die. Makes the Max even bigger when it is already a 'too chunky' chiplet ( so more difficult/expensive to package ) . And it certainly doesn't get them "as much as want".
 

jscipione

macrumors 6502
Mar 27, 2017
429
243
If they release a w34xx with a full compliment of slots they'll be competitive again.
Yeah that’s definitely not going to happen. Apple kept selling the 2013 Mac Pro unmodified (well spec bumped in 2017) until December of 2019 so they aren’t worried about shipping an obsolete product well past its sell by date. The idea that Apple would release another Intel Mac Pro is laughable at this point, we’re just waiting to see what compromises the Apple Silicon Mac Pro will have, whenever it ends up shipping.
 

steve123

macrumors 65816
Aug 26, 2007
1,155
719
Keep on leaking a longer list of details known to a smaller and smaller group, and the Eye of Sauron will be on you.
Haha, yeah. Another point is there is not much to be learned hardware wise from those prototypes. The description of them by Amethyst suggests to me they are different versions of developer transition kits. So, great for porting code and third party PCIe drivers but not particularly representative of what the Mac Pro will be.
 

deconstruct60

macrumors G5
Mar 10, 2009
12,493
4,053
If they release a w34xx with a full compliment of slots they'll be competitive again. The fact that all the other workstation vendors (who are more successful at selling workstations than Apple) make a big deal about lifetime upgradability and reconfigurability might hint that there's something important about that to the target market... and a partridge in a pear tree.

They won't really be competitive. Once get past the myopic chest beating here , there are some cold hard facts.

1. Threadripper 7000 will be hard for the w34xx to beat. And the TR 8000 even more so ( don't think going to get multiple refreshes here unless living in alternative universe). You are just looking at the Intel side of x86 options. Those are not the most competitive workstation options anymore. Intel isn't running 'the show' there anymore.

2. The w34xx pretty much busts through the thermal limits for the current case for the CPU zone. ( max turbo of 360W TDP ). If Apple did anything it would be with a w24xx (270W ) not a 34xx. Also likely the new system will still be capped at 1440W power supply. At 360W going to take something away from the MPX zones to feed the CPU zone ( which can handle it anyway).

[ a contributing factor likely also to why Apple wasn't keen on the w3300 (Ice Lake) and its TDP spike in Max Turbo mode either. Although the even slower Max Turbo clock was likely also a factor. ]


[the 'quad M2' probably would land around 320W and if spread over the old CPU zone and small subset of mid fan zone that wouldn't be a problem at all. If anything that would be a sizable consolidation on power because covered the standard GPU also. It isn't a 'rob Peter to pay Paul' thing here for cooling zones and power supply wattage cap at all. ]

3. Even if Apple invented a new case just for an Intel product ( about as likely as pigs flying ... but just say they did) the macOS 64 thread limit pretty much prunes off the top end of the 34xx line up. ( >32 cores means need to switch to SMT off ) . Perhaps doesn't matter because doesn't have the thermals anyway, but in the alternative universe there is a new case, the software presents issues also.


4. There are MILLIONs of macOS Intel users dropping out of the ecosystem every year at this point. Apple is rotating lots of old Intel systems onto Vintage/Obsolete and de-support. The 'inflow' of new macOS Intel users on Mac Pro (and hand-me-down used Intel Macs to 'new' users) is in no way shape or form going to offset the outflow of other folks transitioning to macOS on M-series.

The Mac Pro solely all by itself is not a viable long term platform for macOS on Intel. The Mac Pro is a system ( hardware+software) not solely a chunk of HW specs.

An increasing number of App developers are going to be scheduling their Intel fat binary retirement process after WWDC 2023.

That 'de support' freight train isn't coming for Linux or Windows w34xx systems. Which means there is a substantial competitive deficit there. MacOS on Intel probably has more than a couple more years of support coming but the freight train is coming. If you don't see it, then are not really looking.

5. The T2 is basically on Vintage/Obsolete countdown clock at this point also. If there was an updated T3 coming for other Intel systems then maybe. But there aren't any others (those transitions have all been declared 'done' . Backsliding on those now is EXTREMELY unlikely. )





If the w-24xx had shipped in 2021 there was a decent window. The iMac 27" Intel and Mini Intel were still around. (if did it 1H 2021 the iMac Pro was still around ... and it too could have picked up a w24xx ) . The T2 was younger. The macOS Intel still be on the other side of the "about two years to finished transition" deadline.


P.S. the final kicker on 'competitiveness' ... MP 2013 -> 2017 until even a inkling of movement. Four years. MP 2019 -> 2023 until perhaps if lucky an inkling of movement. That isn't going to make them competitive. Can hand wave at sexy CPU stats all you want but for large block of shops ... they are toast just on that. Hypermodular slots isn't going to cover that up for them.
 
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Mago

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Sharing UltraFusion bandwidth seems to suggest though you are talking about configurable output along the UltraFusion connector ( e.g., where AMD can use a lane for Infinity Fabric or PCI-e by putting a mux from the optional controllers to the line. ). That there are 'optional' lanes in the UltraFusion 10,000 lane connect that don't need for just two die point to point connection. That Apple could just run the PCI-e lanes out throught the interposer without active transmission there.
Aleluya, your analysis is rigth, to derive any number of PCIe lines from UF, (also consider it was widened) just tap, and plug a muxer/retimer on it, also could follow the same tactic on a bunch on lines and a retimer to connect both CPUs to another "remote" M2 Ultra.
Apple selling extra x16 PCI-e controller(s) inside their MBP 14/16" systems probably isn't very practical.

No Need to add unused PCIe controllers, I don´t know if youre aware InFO-LSi (and most interposer in general) are not limited to passive elements, even Apple could repurspose it as an extra L3 cache (As does AMD on Zen-X3D), PCIe switches, TB4 etc.
 

Mago

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- Regarding what I said about Tensorflow, yes Apple contributed and helped make it more performant on Apple Silicion. That is great. It is also a sign that they aren't on the leading edge of ML/AI development, because Tensorflow is old-hat. I'd say it's gone from double-digit percentage importance a couple years ago to low-single digits now. Source: I literally review new research papers nearly every day and am very tapped-in to what is going on in that space.
 
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mattspace

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They won't really be competitive. Once get past the myopic chest beating here , there are some cold hard facts.

1. The biggest workstation vendors, HP and Lenovo launched with Xeon, not Threadripper, so clearly they think they're competitive or they wouldn't have made the investment.

Seems like a pretty cold, hard fact to me.
 

Boil

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1. The biggest workstation vendors, HP and Lenovo launched with Xeon, not Threadripper, so clearly they think they're competitive or they wouldn't have made the investment.

Seems like a pretty cold, hard fact to me.

Are you talking about when HP & Levano first got into the workstation business, because Threadripper did not even exist then...?
 

mattspace

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It's worth bearing in mind that Apple sometimes hires people who, because they don't know any better, they think are amazing in a field, but who aren't. For example, I recall the Mac media echochamber got itself all worked up over Apple's amazing new VR future, because Apple hired a guy whose claim to fame was creating a VR painting app, where the thing you did in VR was paint on a flat canvas in VR.

Literally the dumbest most missing-the-point thing you could use a technology to do, which kindof explains why their efforts in the medium were so laughably stillborn.
 
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jmho

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Jun 11, 2021
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I dunno, people still paint traditionally in real life despite the fact that you can make a hideous 3d sculpture out of play-dough in your living room if you really want to.

An AR 2d painting app sounds incredibly immersive imo. Imagine being able to go anywhere in the world and paint a vista without having to lug along an easel and $500 worth of paints or dealing with the glare and cramped nature of painting on an iPad.

Damn, you've just sold me on the VR glasses :D
 

mattspace

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I dunno, people still paint traditionally in real life despite the fact that you can make a hideous 3d sculpture out of play-dough in your living room if you really want to.

An AR 2d painting app sounds incredibly immersive imo. Imagine being able to go anywhere in the world and paint a vista without having to lug along an easel and $500 worth of paints or dealing with the glare and cramped nature of painting on an iPad.

Damn, you've just sold me on the VR glasses :D

VR sculpture is definitely a real workflow - I've done it myself, built an entire workflow from VR-clay sculpting environment, through to instantiation on a 3D printer. Can't do it with Apple gear or platforms, but it's been a thing for years.

Hell, I've even welded in the living room of a place I lived when I had a work to make for an exhibition, and didn't have fabrication space (protip, I don't recommend it).

No one's doing plein air VR painting, so you're talking about an indoor activity. An easel with a canvas on a dropsheet is going to take up less room than a VR playspace, and is going to cost a LOT less than a VR system (protip, people using expensive oil paint, LIKE using expensive oil paint).

The sort of headset that can do *opaque* AR is a full size VR headset with video passthrough, and again if you're painting based on looking at video screens, you may as well be painting from a photo, or a looped video of a location.

By contrast, where VR is being used for painting, for example Infectious Ape's Kingspray Graffiti, which was a spraycan physics simulator, that gave you a full immersive walkaround graffiti location. Or Tiltbrush / Openbrush - VR painting apps that let you paint in three dimensions, and walk around and through your paintngs. There are apps for VR that get the point of VR.

A point Apple has never demonstrated any notion of understanding, but then again as I've said many times, the primary characteristic of VR is to negate the relevance of the operating system or platform it runs upon. Upton Sinclair's observation is particularly apt with regards to Apple's eforts in VR "It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends on his not understanding it."
 
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