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ghanwani

macrumors 601
Dec 8, 2008
4,825
6,148
It will be a weird situation for Apple if the 12" Arm-based Macbook ends up outperforming the Air and/or low end Pro models.
 

Joelist

macrumors 6502
Jan 28, 2014
463
373
Illinois
Apple is capable of focusing on more than one thing. They said (and there is no reason to disbelieve them) that this was in process for a while - they needed to bring the A Series to the point it is at now before they could start the new family for the Macs. So the resources likely have always been tasked for this. For Apple it lets them push the laptop design envelope in ways you can't do with off the shelf components. It also gets them off of relying on someone else's cadence for their releases.
 

ghanwani

macrumors 601
Dec 8, 2008
4,825
6,148
I abandoned my 5 macs and upgraded to a Fischer Price laptop. It is just as capable of not supporting 32-bit applications and Nvidia CUDA, it never overheats, and moreover it has a replaceable battery.
Plus it's virtually indestructible. You can hurl it every time you are frustrated and you won't need to pay a deductible!
 
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involuntarheely

macrumors regular
Jul 28, 2019
126
140
I agree, except this tricks previous Intel MKL libraries, but not the most recent versions. There is some Intel sabotage going on, but also Intel optimizes their libraries for their processors. In particular, thanks to the most recent Intel MKL libraries, Mathematica 12 performes matrix multiplication 4 times faster than Mathematica 11 on my Xeon 8173M. Just thanks to optimizations on the Intel MKL libraries, Mathematica is faster on my 28 Intel Xeon than a 64 core AMD Epyc.
really!? i’ll try tomorrow linking R to the latest version on an intel dual 18-core cpu server.
are the optimizations only available to some cpu generations or across the range going back a couple of years?
 

johngwheeler

macrumors 6502a
Dec 30, 2010
639
211
I come from a land down-under...
The all over the map speculation about the future A14X CPU, WIFI, RAM, battery life and other is interesting if not telling. I read the fanboy statements of fact, as they see it, but the realists openly admit, no one here knows that future. Yes, we all have speculation based upon what we believe to be accurate leaks, as well as our own preferences and biases.

Three weeks ago I purchased the Macbook Pro 13 with the 16Gb of RAM and 512Gb SSD/m. Boy was I excited since I've not had a Macbook Pro for over 8 years (I recently switched from Windows to Mac, after having years ago switched from Mac to Windows). When I got it home it went right on the charger. Hours later I started using it, and within an hour I was getting cooked. I got 5 hours first charge, and 4.5 second charge so I took it back.

Now I'm impatiently waiting on the next version with the whatever x/ cpu. Whatever that x/cpu is it will have to be better on power, heat and longevity.

Did you restore any apps or data to the new machine? You know that a new Mac will do a full Spotlight index of the disk, which is CPU intensive. If you have any cloud accounts that need to sync (Dropbox, OneDrive etc.), these are also CPU hogs.

I would have given it a week of use until your software is fully set up and "stable". Depending on your tasks, 4-5 hours isn't too bad for an MBP13. You'll only get 9-10 hours for light tasks such as browsing a few non-intensive web sites, document editing, and maybe 720p or FHD video streaming. I had a brand-new Dell with the same CPU as the MBP13 that struggled to get 2 hours for my usual work, so 4.5-5 hrs would be fine.
 

johngwheeler

macrumors 6502a
Dec 30, 2010
639
211
I come from a land down-under...
That IS how it works. "7 nm" and "10 nm" are just names of the processes that have no basis on "how good" a process is. They might not even correspond to any physical distance in the process whatsoever. It's pure marketing.

The "size" of the fabrication refers to the smallest "features" that the lithographic process can produce. If you have a look at https://sst.semiconductor-digest.co...g/2017/04/10/intel-unveils-more-10nm-details/ you can see more microscopic images of what the field-effect transistors look like (Intel Fin-FET). The width of the "fins" is about 10nm.
 
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CrispyDog

macrumors newbie
Oct 20, 2018
23
7
One of my thoughts that I had about the ARM switch, is how it would affect corporate environments with in-house applications. I am forced into using Windows for a design tool that is critical to my job. IT will issue you either a PC or Mac based upon preference, and you can run Parallels or VirtualBox to use some of these critical tools we have. What the heck happens when the ARM machine comes out and I would only presume that a 'traditional' VM or bootcamp wouldn't work (at least in the immediate future). Sure they would likely have a way to execute Intel x86 code via emulation for MacOS apps but what about Windows? My guess is IT would stop issuing them to anyone in engineering department, or perhaps ditch support for them altogether.

Additional thought: I saw some of the discussion on the math processing side of things and how its handled on Intel x86_64 architectures. Makes me wonder about some of the math processing languages (such as MATLAB) that are architected specifically for x86 platforms. That stuff is dead in the water and some of it is so compute heavy that emulation of something like that seems utterly laughable.
 
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MyopicPaideia

macrumors 68020
Mar 19, 2011
2,155
980
Sweden
Because the iPhone 12 has not happened yet? Last I checked, it's still not announced as of today. A14 and A14X are "educated" guesses at best.
Hmmm... ok? So you‘re saying that the A14 series and its ASi and iPad Pro variants and derivatives being based on TSMC’s “5nm” process, is all conjecture? And that they have not been in production despite the chips not being the cause of the delay (reported here on MacRumors, it is other component delays causing the pushed back releases). This despite the process size being probably the only thing we actually do know for sure about the next generation on Apple’s SoC hardware. So you won’t accept this as fact until Apple tell us at the keynote, or the iFixit teardown, or AnandTech analytical review?
 

TheRealAlex

macrumors 68030
Original poster
Sep 2, 2015
2,982
2,248
I wrote a lot more but I think I'll make it brief:
Intel is barely getting to 10nm manufacturing process.
AMD needed to get to 7nm (Ryzen 2) to beat Intel's 14nm chips.
Apple has been on 7nm for ages. TSMC is teasing 5nm.

My money would be on Intel because they have more potential for growth than both Apple or AMD.

And even then, that's just the CPU side. On the GPU side, I highly doubt Apple will be able to match the performance levels of nVidia and AMD.

So with that said, I'd realistically think that the first MacBook with ARM will be the Air... and it's basically testing ground to see how people will react to loss of x86 compatibility. The Pro-level machines like the 16" and Mac Pro will probably stay on Intel until TSMC can churn out chips with their 5nm process.

Also, reminder to iPad Pro users: I'm not sure if you have seen it, but I regular see my iPad Pro throttling its performance pretty significantly when charging or when under high load (processing raw photos). I'd expect that the upcoming MacBook Air with the same chip will also run into the same problem. A fan can only get so far when there is no heatsink...
Agreed it will likely be a MacBook Air and a MacMini maybe a Macbook.

But it would be a humiliation if a 13” or 14” or 16” MacBook Pro was a Lesser device with an A14X Chip

Like I said I don’t want an Over priced NetBook. with NO support for.

Gaming and eGPU‘s or Windows 10 BootCamp. Its like StarCraft 2 Isn’t gonna run with an ARM chip.
 

TheRealAlex

macrumors 68030
Original poster
Sep 2, 2015
2,982
2,248
Everyone getting super stoked for Apple Silicon Macs really needs to temper their enthusiasm or risk getting severely disappointed. First Gen ASi Macs are going to be very familiar devices that are going to borrow heavily from existing designs to get them out the door and provide a stable period of transition for most users. This is by design and not because Tim Apple is cheap. There has to be a solid continuation of what exists before any subsequent designs start diverging.

You should expect the following -

- Wi-Fi 6 or 6E
- BT 5.2
- LPDDR5 (HBM is too expensive, but who knows)
- NVMe 1.4a (PCIe 4.0 speeds)
- P3 displays all the way around - we should be at the point where Apple can do this.
- USB4 (USB-C ports only)

I think Apple will start at 8c at the base, but I wouldn't expect any sort of hyper-threading (SMT) or Turbo Boost/Thermal Velocity Boost shenanigans. macOS and Apple's own apps are going to be the benchmark of how good or bad things are. The uptake of Apple Silicon compiled apps is going to be interesting considering Apple has provided the tools and we should see a good numbers of apps right out of the gate with iOS apps providing a stopgap while developers catch up.
Lets Face It We care about the CPU Speed. And how Fast it can perform. Is the Loss of x86 Software worth it ?

This is a Move to Make Money Not to “help“ customers. Apple needs to Increase it sales of Apps and transactions within those apps. So Shift Everything to ARM and be 100% App Store dependent.

This switch to ARM is about Software Control and Money from in App 30% Transactions to Apple.
 

MandiMac

macrumors 65816
Feb 25, 2012
1,433
883
Lets Face It We care about the CPU Speed. And how Fast it can perform. Is the Loss of x86 Software worth it ?

This is a Move to Make Money Not to “help“ customers. Apple needs to Increase it sales of Apps and transactions within those apps. So Shift Everything to ARM and be 100% App Store dependent.

This switch to ARM is about Software Control and Money from in App 30% Transactions to Apple.
My friend, x86 software will be supported from Day one. See some WWDC 2020 videos - if it's running on Mac now, it will run on ARM Macs as well.

And if we'll get an A14X chip (or better) in a MacBook, I personally wouldn't worry much about speed and/or efficiency. Intel is doing no good in efficiency, and the A12X runs circles around most low-budget Intel chips anyway.
 

leman

macrumors Core
Oct 14, 2008
19,520
19,670
I think its safe to say people are over hyping the apple silicon. Some people even think the a12z is as powerful as an i9 processor because of some benchmarks LOL. But we all know this isn't true.

Double standards much? So it’s ok to use benchmarks to determine that an i9 is fast but it’s not ok to use the same benchmarks to determine that Apple CPUs are fast?
 

MandiMac

macrumors 65816
Feb 25, 2012
1,433
883
Double standards much? So it’s ok to use benchmarks to determine that an i9 is fast but it’s not ok to use the same benchmarks to determine that Apple CPUs are fast?
Of course, because Apple CPUs are not real CPUs. Just like iPads are not real computers, et cetera. Listen to the experts ;)

Sarcasm off: I don't get that double standard either. Maybe they won't accept that Apple has a better way of doing things, just like they managed to get smartphones working, or de-throning Qualcomm, or essentially capturing the all-in-one-PC-market for themselves, or tablets.
 

leman

macrumors Core
Oct 14, 2008
19,520
19,670
You're not getting it. OS X Catalina with iMessage, Safari [6 tabs] running has 378 processes and 1,734 threads on my MacBook Pro 13" 2015. That's a bare basic use of the system.

Most of which are idle. Who cares about the number of existing threads? The only reasons why Macs deal better with them is because they have more RAM. Thread switching is as good in Apple CPUs at it is on Intel and Apple CPUs have more cache and better memory level parallelism (according to in-depth technical analysis).

No iPhone/iPad is running near the process load or thread load just to keep the system afloat. Everything that you take for granted on OS X has a hardware tie to it. Never mind the basic OS X running Apple Apps with noticeably slower performance [and it will] the third party software you cherish must still be ported and unless they move their entire code base by branching for am ARM solution it's going to be most likely in interpreted mode for a long time to come.

All most apps need us a simple recompile. You are overestimating the “porting” difficulties. If you have a well-behaved macOS application that doesn’t use platform-specific code, it is already ARM ready.
 
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leman

macrumors Core
Oct 14, 2008
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. In particular, thanks to the most recent Intel MKL libraries, Mathematica 12 performes matrix multiplication 4 times faster than Mathematica 11 on my Xeon 8173M. Just thanks to optimizations on the Intel MKL libraries, Mathematica is faster on my 28 Intel Xeon than a 64 core AMD Epyc.

Most likely because of AVX-512. Right now, Apple CPUs are strictly inferior to Intel offerings in terms of HPC. Latest Intel can do a 512bit SIMD per clock, where Apple can only do 3x 128bit SIMD per clock. However, your application needs to explicitly use the AVX512 instruction set, which is still uncommon. Most vector code out there still uses SSE and here Apple outperforms Intel (using SSE Intel is limited to 2x 128bit SIMD per clock).

I hope that Apple will add a fourth SIMD unit to their new CPUs while offering support for ARM SVE (the official new vector ISA). This would give Apple same peak SIMD throughout as newest Xeons/Tiger Lakes with better average throughput.
 
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Jeaz

macrumors 6502a
Dec 12, 2009
689
1,216
Sweden
It will not be an overpriced netbook. That would be a disaster for Apple, a company that tries to produce products that are good at doing things. Expect Apple Silicon to outperform Intel at the same power consumption.
So very true. While Apple has generally stayed clear of talking too much about clock frequency, core etc, they do love to show their benchmarks, how performance has improved vs previous generations. If they'd fail to show that with the Apple Silicon, it would be a tremendous blow to the Apple Silicon as a product and make it pretty much dead in the water.
 
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MandiMac

macrumors 65816
Feb 25, 2012
1,433
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So very true. While Apple has generally stayed clear of talking too much about clock frequency, core etc, they do love to show their benchmarks, how performance has improved vs previous generations. If they'd fail to show that with the Apple Silicon, it would be a tremendous blow to the Apple Silicon as a product and make it pretty much dead in the water.
And even if the performance was "just" the same like Intel does now, there are other factors to consider. What about battery life, what about heat, what about charging times? The best thing that can happen to Apple (and I strongly believe this) is that they have faster chips that are simultaneously needing less power, which would underscore the newly found dominance from the Apple Silicon architecture.
 

Ma2k5

macrumors 68030
Dec 21, 2012
2,565
2,541
London
The macbook (2015 gen) MacBook Pro non tb (and now base tb model) use 2x2... the reason was intel 10th gen doesn’t support wifi 6. I think they’ll need an extra chip as well as the wifi chip to support it or something and would be too complicated.
11th gen supports wifi 6

Apple was one of the first few laptops since 2016 to offer 3x3 WiFi, I don’t see them going backwards. It wasn’t to do with 10th gen but just the very late availability of 3x3 WiFi 6 cards: https://investors.broadcom.com/news...-industrys-first-3x3-wi-fi-6-chip-mass-market
 

russell_314

macrumors 604
Feb 10, 2019
6,659
10,260
USA
It will be a weird situation for Apple if the 12" Arm-based Macbook ends up outperforming the Air and/or low end Pro models.
Maybe that's why they're releasing the 14" MacBook Pro first. Also why not release the best product first
 

MandiMac

macrumors 65816
Feb 25, 2012
1,433
883
Maybe that's why they're releasing the 14" MacBook Pro first. Also why not release the best product first
Or they are releasing the 12" MacBook first, and saying "this is with an iPad Pro processor, the A14X. Just imagine what we can do when we are trying - and oh boy, are we trying."
Either way a great PR strategy, and cannibalizing their own sales is pretty nice too!
 
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russell_314

macrumors 604
Feb 10, 2019
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Or they are releasing the 12" MacBook first, and saying "this is with an iPad Pro processor, the A14X. Just imagine what we can do when we are trying - and oh boy, are we trying."
Either way a great PR strategy, and cannibalizing their own sales is pretty nice too!
That's not what the latest rumors say but who knows. I believe they will release the Pro first because it makes the most sense to me but we'll know for sure on Tuesday.
 

leman

macrumors Core
Oct 14, 2008
19,520
19,670
Also, you HAVE TO factor in thermals. There is a big difference running in a "walled garden" on a phone versus a laptop or desktop where there are many more variables, multitasking, and general much greater demands on the chip. It still remains to be seen if Apple Silicon will run cooler at the same level of processing power.

One of the few hard facts we have is that Apple CPUs need around 1/5 of power to produce the same performance compared to Intel CPUs. This is not a speculation, not a guess, it's a fact. if Apple wanted, they could take their last year CPUs, build a laptop around it, and it will have the same CPU performance (+ faster GPU) as Intel fastest Ice Lake laptops, while consuming less power.

N1_575px.png




To put things in perspective: my iphone 11 Pro gets uncomfortably hot in 10-15 minutes if I'm using it for a Zoom meeting with video enabled. It also gets noticeably warm when running wireless CarPlay and streaming from Spotify, to the point where I've had to take it out of my pocket. Point being graphically intense software or (relatively basic) multitasking will cause an A13 bionic to get toasty.

Power consumption of A13 is a known quantity. It will consume around 4-5 Watts when the CPU runs on full load. Of course your small phone gets warm to the touch. Compare that with Intel CPUs that need to draw more than 20 wats to offer the same level of performance.


I'm expecting a super thin and light Macbook type thing at first, emphasis on battery life and portability versus performance. Maybe a new Air or something in a familiar form factor to entice some consumers that don't know otherwise.

This I completely agree with. It would make perfect sense to release low-end first while the more intricate high-end details are still being worked out. That said, I don't think that the Apple-Silicon based Air or 12" is going to be underwhelming. If they go for a 8+4+16 core configuration, it should have performance levels comparable to the i9-equipped 16" MBP.
 

MandiMac

macrumors 65816
Feb 25, 2012
1,433
883
That's not what the latest rumors say but who knows. I believe they will release the Pro first because it makes the most sense to me but we'll know for sure on Tuesday.
You think they will focus on Apple Watch, iPad AND Apple Silicon Macs? Not sure about that. I'd say AS Macs will be coming in the October keynote, because what else to show besides the newest iPhones?
 

russell_314

macrumors 604
Feb 10, 2019
6,659
10,260
USA
You think they will focus on Apple Watch, iPad AND Apple Silicon Macs? Not sure about that. I'd say AS Macs will be coming in the October keynote, because what else to show besides the newest iPhones?
I think the focus will be on iPhone and AR. I think they will release the AW and I hope at least one Mac. The Mac is just me being hopeful but I don't see why they wouldn't. It's a two hour event so they have time.
 
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