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Apple is testing an unreleased chip with a 12-core CPU, 18-core GPU, and 36GB of memory, according to an App Store developer log obtained by Bloomberg's Mark Gurman.

In his Power On newsletter today, Gurman said this chip could be the base-level M3 Pro for the next-generation 14-inch and 16-inch MacBook Pro models launching next year.
36GB ram on the base M3 Pro? Very glad to hear. That means the M3 Pro can go up to around 64gb, and the M3 Max may also get 64gb as base RAM.

I'm hoping the regular M3 chips will also bump up the base RAM to 16gb.
 
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36GB ram on the base M3 Pro? Very glad to hear. That means the M3 Pro can go up to around 64gb, and the M3 Max may also get 64gb as base RAM.

I'm hoping the regular M3 chips will also bump up the base RAM to 16gb.
Gurman does not say that. He says "at least one version in testing" has 36GBs.

The article seems to suggest that the 36 GB is the new maximum RAM on the M3 Pro. When he compares "base models" and lists: M1: 32GB, M2: 32GB, M3: 36GB. It certainly doesn't suggest that the M3 Pro will go up to 64GB, or that anything will ship with 64GB as "base" RAM.

I still expect base SKU RAM on M* chips will move to 12GB or 16GB in the next year or two. So either in the M3 or the M4 generation (i would bet on M4).
 
As @chucker23n1 said, there's a ton of unknowns, but I'd say the back-of-the-napkin is that an M3 w/ 18 GPUs should be similar to an M1 Max w/ 32 GPUs (though I think the M1 Max's memory bandwidth and core count would generally give it a slight lead). Given it being 2-3 generations newer and on a smaller process node, wouldn't be that surprising.

For CPU performance, I would expect an M3 6:6 (p:e) cores to easily be faster than an M1 8:2 cores, in almost every task.
Thanks for the added CPU perspective @DavidSchaub. Any thoughts on GPU performance?
 
Gurman does not say that. He says "at least one version in testing" has 36GBs.

The article seems to suggest that the 36 GB is the new maximum RAM on the M3 Pro. When he compares "base models" and lists: M1: 32GB, M2: 32GB, M3: 36GB. It certainly doesn't suggest that the M3 Pro will go up to 64GB, or that anything will ship with 64GB as "base" RAM.

I still expect base SKU RAM on M* chips will move to 12GB or 16GB in the next year or two. So either in the M3 or the M4 generation (i would bet on M4).
My bad, thanks for clarifying.

I bet on M3 for the base RAM upgrade, I would be very surprised if they still offer 8gb as base RAM for an M3 Mac in 2024.
 
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I’m curious, does @leman, @ian87w or others know how this rumored 36G M3 Pro with 12 CPU cores / 18 GPU cores might stack up against a 32G M1 Max with 10 core CPU / 32 core GPU?

I’m just curious about informed speculation on whether if could possibly match, exceed or fall behind the M1 Max CPU / GPU performance with clock speeds, memory bandwidth, power and other factors considered.

Thoughts?

Informed speculation? It’s probably safe to assume that the CPU will be significantly faster (40-50% could be realistic). The GPU core in M3 should obviously be faster, but whether it’s enough to match the higher core count of the M1 Max remains to be seen. Then again, already M2 Pro can rival M1 Max on some workloads (like Blender).
 
The 15" Air is a far more specific question that will get a different answer.

The thermal limits of the 15" Air will almost certainly mean that the better binned Mac Studio or MacBook Pro M1 Max will always be notably faster after a short amount of time.
Yes, I expect that to be the case with the Air, but am optimistic that thermal throttling won't be as bad as might be expected. I'm currently using a 32GB 16" M1 Max principally for process simulation work -- using Win86 software on Windows 11 Pro ARM via Parallels. Even with the two levels of emulation the simulations run very fast, but visualizations for complex simulations can take some time due to the AS GPU limitations. For example 20 iterations of a one year complex call center simulation can take 30 minutes -- ~10 minutes to run and ~20 minutes to render six 52 week visualizations. During runs like these I've yet to notice any appreciable heat or fan noise hence my hope that the fan-less Air might be able to handle it .. and maybe allow me to shed a pound or two between the laptop and power adapter. First world problem I know .. but a guy can dream.
 
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Informed speculation? It’s probably safe to assume that the CPU will be significantly faster (40-50% could be realistic). The GPU core in M3 should obviously be faster, but whether it’s enough to match the higher core count of the M1 Max remains to be seen. Then again, already M2 Pro can rival M1 Max on some workloads (like Blender).
Thanks @leman . Keeping fingers crossed.
 
Of course they are. They probably have a few M4 test models lying around too.

Still beats my how some folk still think this stuff is just knocked up between release cycles. They’re all years in the making.
 
My bad, thanks for clarifying.

I bet on M3 for the base RAM upgrade, I would be very surprised if they still offer 8gb as base RAM for an M3 Mac in 2024.
Oh, I agree, it is absolutely time... I have a graph for that one for Apple's consumer laptops:
1684132068469.png
 
Yes, I expect that to be the case with the Air, but am optimistic that thermal throttling won't be as bad as might be expected. I'm currently using a 32GB 16" M1 Max principally for process simulation work -- using Win86 software on Windows 11 Pro ARM via Parallels. Even with the two levels of emulation the simulations run very fast, but visualizations for complex simulations can take some time due to the AS GPU limitations. For example 20 iterations of a one year complex call center simulation can take 30 minutes -- ~10 minutes to run and ~20 minutes to render six 52 week view visualizations. During runs like these I've yet to notice any appreciable heat or fan noise hence my hope that the fan-less Air might be able to handle it .. and maybe allow me to shed a pound or two between the laptop and power adapter. First world problem I know .. but a guy can dream.
Wow... Yeah... that is really MacBookPro territory :)
 
At this point, it’s best to wait it out until the new MacBook Pro 14” & 16” are announced. Not worth getting the M2 in my opinion. Also, you can do what I'm going to do next month. Order the Midnight-MacBook Air 15".
Ehhh, I’ll most likely get something with lots of memory and storage, like a new MBP. Even if the Air comes in black like that, I’d still keep my M1. Looking for something that’ll last me another 5-6 years.
 
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Hopefully the two extra cores are performance cores and not more efficiency cores.

My M1 Pro is 10 Core- 8P2E
The binned M2 Pro is 10 core- 6P4E
The full M2 Pro is 12 core- 8P4E

Really hoping M3 Pro is:-
Binned 12 Core 8P4E
Full 14 Core 10P4E.

Actually I’m hoping the M3 Pro will be 14 Core 12P 2E but I doubt that. Or maybe the M3Max might get more CPU cores as well as GPU cores??

Given Logic and a lot of other Audio production apps don’t even use the efficiency cores, I’d much rather Apple focus on adding Performance cores and keep efficiency cores to 2 for these pro machines.

Not sure the jump from an M1 Pro with 8P cores to an M3 Pro with 10P cores is going to be too much of an increase in performance.
 
Hopefully the two extra cores are performance cores and not more efficiency cores.

My M1 Pro is 10 Core- 8P2E
The binned M2 Pro is 10 core- 6P4E
The full M2 Pro is 12 core- 8P4E

Really hoping M3 Pro is:-
Binned 12 Core 8P4E
Full 14 Core 10P4E.

Actually I’m hoping the M3 Pro will be 14 Core 12P 2E but I doubt that. Or maybe the M3Max might get more CPU cores as well as GPU cores??

Given Logic and a lot of other Audio production apps don’t even use the efficiency cores, I’d much rather Apple focus on adding Performance cores and keep efficiency cores to 2 for these pro machines.

Not sure the jump from an M1 Pro with 8P cores to an M3 Pro with 10P cores is going to be too much of an increase in performance.

It’s fairly likely still 8+4 configuration, just like M2 family.
 
I thought the rumor is that the 12 core M3Pro chip being tested is likely to be the Base Model M3Pro?

If that’s the case then the mid model should have an extra 2 performance cores no?

I find this interpretation of the rumor unlikely, simply because their base and non-base models use the same chips. It’s just that in the base model two CPUs in a cluster are disabled to create more price differentiation. At this point in development schedule, the engineers are working with chips, not product configurations, so I think this rumor describes the full chip (whether accurate or not is a different question).

Also, 10 P-cores would be an odd configuration. That would mean either increasing the cluster size to 5 or shipping 2x full clusters and one half-cluster in the SoC. Not impossible of course, but odd.


M3 Pro 8+4 is not going to be much of a boost from an M1 Pro 8+2 in two generations.

What makes you think that? A new microarchitecture could very well result in a substantial performance uplift.
 
M1 Pro to M2 Pro was about 16% increase in Multicore Geekbench.

Unfortunately while the two extra efficiency cores help Multicore Geekbench scores they can’t be used for Logic, which has been shown not to load up efficiency cores.

So the real world benefit in Logic Pro of M2 Pro over M1 Pro was very little, less than 16%.

If M3 Pro maintains the same number of Performance cores we are going to be looking at a similar boost.

So 30% increase in 3 generations is pretty underwhelming IMO.
 
M1 to M2 was a minor iteration, especially if you consider P-cores only. A couple of new minor features and some system rebalancing to support higher clock. No change in IPC at all. Who is to say that M3 won’t come with a more substantial redesign of the P-core?

I am not familiar with Logic and don’t know which hardware features it’s using. Does it rely on GPU acceleration? Maybe it doesn’t really need a CPU performance boost in the first place?
 
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