Alright, as I post this, it's less than 48 hours to go until the November Apple event for the debut of Apple silicon Macs. Woohoo! So what's rumored right now are...
- Two 13-inch Apple silicon MacBook models — most likely MacBook Air & MacBook Pro
- 16-inch Apple silicon MacBook model — tentative "maybe" ??♂️
...All in the existing design we're all familiar with. That's it. Just swapping out the processor can't be the whole story — or can it? I noticed Apple doesn't capitalize silicon, so "Apple Silicon" isn't going to the brand name, thank god. Yet for some reason the naming of these "Mac family of processors" as A14 or A14X seems off, like they should be called an X1 or Z1. That would sound more bad ass, in my opinion.
While I'm excited for the switch I think Apple may include some other tweaks/creature comforts. Here's a list:
- Improved battery life — Seems like a given to supposed offset of the Intel processor's power consumption. How much of an improvement can only be guesstimated. I'd like to see it 2x compared to what we have now. I can't see Apple reducing battery size as a way of reducing overall weight of these devices — but who knows?
- 802.11ax (WiFi 6) — seems like a given since it's already on the newest iPhones & iPads.
- Thunderbolt 4/USB 4 ports — Seems likely, yes? Since Thunderbolt 4 is a royalty free. I mean how the hell else was Craig powering that Apple Pro Display XDR in the WWDC lab video?
- Brighter displays — Doesn't look like we'll get any real change in the display quality yet (i.e. higher resolution, ProMotion, or mini LED). So we'll get a screen that can go up to 600 to 700 nits? Might help with iPhone HDR video situation?
- Improved FaceTime HD camera — how about something in the 1080p range? I mean 720p is so 2010...
- Face ID — This sadly doesn't seem possible with this update, even though we got iSight cameras first in Apple laptops in the last processor transition with the MacBook Pro in 2006.
What surprises might we see?
- Like, for example, will they keep the Touch Bar in the MacBook Pro? I'd just assume jettison it — but that's more of a personal thing than a likelihood at this point.
- 5G integration — I think this possibility as very remote.
- Elimination of 2 Thunderbolt port model on the 13" MBP, it's 4 ports.
- 16" MacBook Pro preview — coming in late December or January?
Your thoughts?
Did I mention I'm excited?
Same designs for the incoming Apple Silicon Macs. In the PowerPC to Intel transition you had the 12" PowerBook G4 and both iBook G4s merge into the MacBook, which was an all-new design, but all other first gen Intel Macs retained the same or 90% similar designs to their PowerPC equivalents. The same strategy will be employed here. New designs aren't as important as showcasing the difference under the hood. Apple will want to focus on that for most of the new Macs (save for iMacs, which likely couldn't change design until this transition), but do expect second and third rev Apple Silicon Macs to start changing up designs.
I strongly doubt we'll see the 16" MacBook Pro make the jump to Apple Silicon tomorrow or in 2020, especially given that there are Boot Camp notes from within Apple specifically mentioning a 2020 16" MacBook Pro (meaning it's still running Intel [as even a native dual-boot with Windows 10 for ARM64 likely wouldn't use "Boot Camp", but rather some other concocted mechanisms entirely]). I do believe we will see said 16" MacBook Pro get released tomorrow, likely as a ceremoneous "here's the final Intel Mac". There's also the fact that Tim Cook said that there were multiple new Intel Macs still in the pipeline (and we only got one of them released since the transition). There may be another Intel Mac Pro in the pipeline (though I don't know if there are replacement components to warrant such a change).
Otherwise, I'd think that we're seeing the Air (still to be at 13" using the same exact form factor) rocking an SoC of similar class to that of the iPad Pro using the A14 microachitecture, and then the 13" Pro using an SoC of a higher class (figure more cores for the CPU and GPU portions respectively) variant of A14. Despite using the same enclosures, I'd say that FaceID is extremely likely; as are better webcams (Apple very likely wanted to wait until this transition to start beefing up the cameras). I think Apple also wanted to wait until the transition to move the Mac to WiFi 6 (which is sort of unfortunate considering that the Macs that could run Catalina, but not Big Sur were cut out for not having updated WiFi drivers), though the Intel 16" MacBook Pro update could be a notable exception here.
Thunderbolt 4 is not royalty-free, USB4 (which is basically Thunderbolt 3) is. I'm unsure of what Apple will use here. The current Intel 4-port 13" MacBook Pro is the only Mac where the Thunderbolt 3 controller is integrated into the CPU; for all others, there is a discrete Intel Thunderbolt controller chip on the main logic board of every Mac with Thunderbolt. Apple will need to keep putting these chips on its Apple Silicon Mac main logic boards in order for Macs to have actual Thunderbolt 3 or 4 support. USB4 solves this, but Apple has already said that there would continue to be Thunderbolt support on Apple Silicon Macs, so whether 3 or 4 (and whichever one used could depend on many factors), so expect Intel Thunderbolt controllers to remain on Apple Silicon Mac main logic boards.
Otherwise, I do believe that the 2-port 13" MacBook Pro will disappear. This Mac was the continuation of the 2010-2017 MacBook Air, whereas the 2018-2020 Air was the continuation of the 12" MacBook. The latter was powered by crappy slow modern-era Atom-class Y-series processors which never really had enough power to do anything without heating excessively. Apple will be able to put a very decent SoC into the chassis of the 2020 Air to get it to outperform both the 2020 10th Gen Y-series processors as well as the 8th Gen lower-powered U-series chips of the 2-port 13" MacBook Pros, thereby returning the MacBook Air to the former glory (and capability) of the 2010-2017 era Airs, and removing the need for two different Macs on the low end. I'd say that what Apple does to the 4-port 13" MacBook Pro is more of a mystery, considering that Apple needs to make it more performant than the 13" Air for it to have a reason to still exist in its current form. I think it's more likely that the Air will gain the TouchBar than it is that the 13" Pro will drop it; Apple seems like it wants to keep building on that feature rather than listening to the mass indifference to it that people have had.
One final big question mark for me is how they'll handle the outgoing Intel models. In the PowerPC to Intel transition, the first two Intel Mac model introductions didn't trigger the immediate discontinuations of their PowerPC equivalents. They stuck around for a month or two longer for those that NEEDED to elect for the outgoing architecture. Later PowerPC to Intel jumps (beginning with the Intel Mac mini) didn't have that kind of overlap. Also, one could argue that the iMacs and then-15" MacBook Pros were a critical market segment that might require a more gentle overlap, whereas the target market audience for both the Air and the 13" Pro will likely not be as inconvenienced by having to use Rosetta 2 on things that aren't Apple's apps, Microsoft 365 apps, or Adobe apps. But we'll certainly see soon enough.
Personally, my Mac usage has scaled down enough to the point where I'm hoping that a revitalized Air (not sucking like the 2018-2020 Air) is all that I need out of a Mac in the Apple Silicon era. The rest of my computing needs is handled by Windows 10 these days.