call me threated by it if you want but really I am not. Heck for me the iPhone is just another phone.
Indifference rarely leads to sufficient motivation to prompt the reader to make the effort of writing a post. As such, what's your real motivation?
When I read numbers on the sunday after the release being over 250k I was shocked and though they where to high but something I was wondering when the truth would come out if they where true or now.
What you have with the AT&T report is a
partial "truth". Given the context and how limited of a view it is, I hardly find the number to be low. Personally, I was pleasantly surprised that AT&T proved to be successful in processing more than 100K activations over that weekend, since it was relying on the brand new "via iTunes" activation process.
And while there was some 'hype' on the order of claims of 500K+ units sold the first week, you really need to take into account who was saying what and judge their credibility. From all that I saw, all of these crazy claims were coming from 3rd Party Outsiders who didn't have access to corporate data.
What I find rather disturbing is the fan boys here who are crying over the fact that the numbers are a lot lower.
You misspelled "delighted." Granted, there have been some people who are very confused as to what the AT&T value really represents, because they don't recognize it as a subset of a subset of a subset (etc). However, simply not being good at Set Theory hardly means that they are 'fan boys'.
The longer time goes on the better activation numbers are going for finding out phones are sold. The first numbers we know are low and i say maybe 20-30% low ...
For meaningful clarity, it will have to wait the 3 months until the next fiscal quarter ends, barring some out-of-necessary-cycle announcment from someone.
I think activation issues maybe where 10% of the people but not much above that.
Is this 10% of those who tried to activate, or of all units sold?
Don't forget your conditional branching:
Goto store --> wait in line -->
buy product --> bring product home --> unpack product --> attach product to PC ---> run iTunes --> initiate activation --> activation successful -->
activation success is logged --> etc
Color code:
Blue = the number people want to know
Red = the number that we have from AT&T
To build a proper model, you actually need to have the data ... or at least good estimated values ... for every single process step.
The biggest factor in what I get will be how nice does the iPhone play with outlook and the calender in outlook. I am going into an industry that used outlook very heavily so yes it will be a determining factor for me.
If its to be used in industry, then the business should pay for it. As such, you may very well end up like me, with two cellphones.
BUt threaten by the iPhone no. That is an excuse a lot of the Apple fan boys are making for anyone who says that the lower than expect number from AT&T is a better number than anything else we have out their right now.
What was said was merely that hard numbers are better than estimates.
And yet you've got a problem with that. Care to explain?
-hh