The life expectancy of SSD in M1 MacBook
The inspection of the M1 MacBook shows that Apple used a chip with the name SDRGJHI4 [5]. This means nothing but we can speculate that Apple probably used Western Digital chips [6]. As the disk is reported as an NVMe drive, we can pick some SSD drives from the Western Digital commercial OEM offer [7] that roughly matches the performance of SSD in MacBook.
The Western Digital PC SN530 NVMe SSD declares 200 TBW. The same value is declared for the SN720 drive. The Western Digital IX SN530 NVMe SSD declares 650 TBW. Very cheap WD Blue™ SN550 NVMe™ SSD can withstand 150 TBW. If Apple didn’t cheap out on SSD, in my opinion, it should withstand from 300–650 TBW for a 256GB drive. On the other hand, if we take a look at what people report we can see that probably Apple declares 1600 TBW for a 256GB drive. The users here [8] used 10% of the SSD lifespan and it is at 160 TBW which translates to 1600 TBW. Of course only if the smartctl tool is correct.
Given that most of the time Apple uses high-end parts in their devices we can assume that Apple SSD has at least 300 TBW endurance. The worst-case scenario is that SSD has 150 TBW which will translate to about 4–5 years before my SSD will die. The realistic approach is that it has 300 TBWwhich gives me around 9 years of SSD lifetime. The most optimistic forecast is that it is capable of 1600 TBW, which will give me around 50 years before I will kill my SSD.