It sounds quite a bleak future for motorists when you put it like that. Motorists staying local, a reduced amount of families travelling for holidays in their own country and a good percentage of people priced out of owning a car altogether. At least it’ll be easier for the wealthy to drive about and less congestion.
It does indeed sound bleak. I'd love to be wrong. But we all need to be careful about assuming these problems will be adequately solved. They might not be. The people running governments aren't the ones struggling to afford cars and fuel. But they certainly hear a lot from auto and fossil fuel lobbies.
I do wonder if the government will offer a scrappage scheme like they did with old diesels a few years ago to try and help motorists afford the transition. I know there will be perhaps a decade beyond 2030 where people will still be driving around in petrol and diesel cars but with costs going to over £2.00 a litre now, maybe we will also see a reduction in the amount of filling stations for these fuels too by then? We need larger EV’s to be produced now as the market will need these vehicles to be depreciated enough by 2030, albeit older and inferior technology at that time.
There has to be a transition period, and it will inevitably be painful for the consumer. But well thought-out planning by governments to build EV infrastructure and encourage the production of more affordable and more capable EVs might help make it less painful.
I haven't bought a vehicle in 5 years, and my first child is 8 months old... What is worse for the world, getting rid of cars every couple years, or keeping a full sized truck? I'm going to guess replacing cars like they are accessories.
My full-sized truck is 24 years old, so naturally I favor keeping vehicles rather than replacing them willy-nilly. I keep vehicles as long as possible. That doesn't mean there is never a valid reason to replace your vehicle before it is completely worn out.
I'll take the pepsi challenge with my Ram in the snow/ice.
Like I said, your 4WD doesn't matter when it comes to maneuvering and braking. It doesn't outperform anything with four wheels, because they are all connected to the ground in exactly the same way. Ride height is not particularly relevant on roads (sure, speed bumps etc. but we aren't talking Lamborghinis here). Trucks are light at the rear without extra weight in the back, which can cause traction issues in certain situations - not a fatal problem but an inherent compromise of this type of vehicle. All modern cars have stability and traction control, so I'm not trying to compare truck from the 90s with a new car.
Oh, and re: wheelbase, I do agree. My Fiesta's short wheelbase (and the fact the wheels are out near the corners) make it very maneuverable. There is a potential for liftoff oversteer, but it is mild and with the stability control you hardly ever notice it. Generally only an issue on 'hot hatches.'
Tires are the biggest overlooked part of low traction driving.
I couldn't agree more. The difference in performance between all seasons and proper snow tires like Blizzaks is vast, it makes the car feel like an entirely different vehicle.
Yes, fwd vehicles are capable, until the aren't and cause highway pileups in heavy snow. At least 1-2 x a year it happens in Long Island, where I'm forced to leave the LIE, use the access road (very hilly) and drive on the grass to go around these fwd vehicles causing major congestion.
I categorically disagree. People not driving to the conditions causes those pileups regardless of what they're driving. Sure, trucks might be more capable in some of those situations, but not all of them.
I used to commute 40 miles east (each way), when there was heavy snow (10"+), there is just no way for the plows to keep up with the snow fall. It's either be prepared, or get stranded, then cause others to get stranded. One of the biggest things that pisses me off are fwd or rwd vehicles in the NE US driving in snowy conditions. They are a danger to everyone...
I'm not trying to bash trucks or say they aren't capable. On the contrary, I'm sticking up for other types of cars, which are constantly being unfairly bashed as 'useless' or even 'dangerous'. That's hogwash.
I simply don't agree with you on your disdain for anything that isn't AWD/4WD as a winter driver. My community is full of people who drive clapped-out old 90s sedans to work every day in very snowy conditions. Or even old 2WD trucks. Sure, accidents happen, but I'm telling you again that new 4WD pickups are more likely to be in the ditch. When you're driving an old Taurus you are more careful and don't take risks, and you get there. Who passes me on a double yellow in the middle of a snowstorm? Not the taurus. It's the fellow in the brand-new Yukon Denali. Who I later see in the grocery store buying a pork loin and potatoes. Whew, it's lucky you've got 420 horses going to four wheels to haul that hunk of meat n spuds home!
The biggest factor,
by far, is the driver. I'm not arguing against trucks here, I'm arguing for driving to the conditions. With snow tires, on roads, you'll be just fine 95% of the time without 4WD/AWD.
And before anyone asks, I work in hospitals, so I do not have the option of staying home, oh and there wasn't the option of mass transit to get to my last hospital. My current one yes, but the prices are more than it costs me to drive my DD (plus I bring my baby to daycare at my job). The trains are also recalled in heavy snow, but I still have to be at work.
If you think you need a truck, by all means, have it, I'm not telling you you shouldn't. And yes, if you are a working in a critical infrastructure job, you have a case for having extra capability. If I was an EMT or volunteer firefighter or some such where I live, I would likely replace one of my hatchbacks with a larger vehicle with 4WD. And of course if I were a tradesman or a farmer I'd have one too. But the number of trucks driving around far outstrips the number of people who fall into those categories.
For most people, we know that 99% of the time they are just big, increasingly unaffordable lifestyle vehicles. Towing a couple jet skis doesn't constitute a need.