I'll explain. There is a 90% chance the beta come this week, and 10% next week (this assumes there's a 100% it will happen this week or next.) If it come this week (90% chance that it will), the percentage chance that it occurs on Monday is 40%, Tuesday 30% and so on. This is how percentages work.
I think you are over analyzing it. I believe he means IF this week then those days would be the percentages he thinks it would happen. Two different scenarios he is showing 1) 90% it will be this week and 10% it will be next week. Then 2) IF this week then 40 ,30, 20, 10, 0 for Mon-Fri.
I'm not over-analyzing. I've taken enough math classes to know how percentages work. You have to break down what the weekly chance is. All percentages need to equal 100. In this case it equals 110%
Actually it's not but ok. Whatever you say.
No you are wrong this time @Mlrollin91. Its two different predictions. And 40+30+20+10+0 equals 100 not 110.I'm not over-analyzing. I've taken enough math classes to know how percentages work. You have to break down what the weekly chance is. All percentages need to equal 100. In this case it equals 110%
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Actually it's not but ok. Whatever you say.
No, that is not two different predictions. You cannot say there is a 100% chance that 90% will happen and 100% chance that 10% will happen. That makes even less sense.No you are wrong this time @Mlrollin91. Its two different predictions. And 40+30+20+10 equals 100 not 110.
That means no Public release of 10.3.2 this week.
LOL as I said earlier you are over analyzing a simple prediction.
I want to know where 10.4 is. Now its out of the possibilities of happening unless it has 2 betas.Its strange how long this beta release for a small update but least apple will polish it, but next month it all starts again with ios 11 beta 1
LOL as I said earlier you are over analyzing a simple prediction.
OK I predict that there is 90 % it will happen this week and 10% it will happen next week. period, done, complete with prediction one 90+10 + 100% finished.
Now prediction 2. I predict if iOS drops this week, there is a 40,30,20,10,0 percent chance it will happen on days Mon - Friday respectively. 40+30+20+10+0 = 100% . End of prediction number two.
Both equal 100% separately since they are separate simple predictions. But yeah if you want to over analyze it, then add the two together as one and do your math and send us YOUR prediction for the next two weeks.
Incorrect. The public release will most likely drop tomorrow. And also, yes, you are wrong as he never said anything of 100% chance of 90% happening or any of that other nonsense. Stop trying to be right all the time. It'll get you nowhere.No, that is not two different predictions. You cannot say there is a 100% chance that 90% will happen and 100% chance that 10% will happen. That makes even less sense.
You must break the 90% down to equal 90%. Its really that simple. If anyone is over-analyzing its all of you.
You all can call me wrong all you want, but my grade in Stats Honors and Calc speaks for its self.
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That means no Public release of 10.3.2 this week.
How about you not be such a jerk? You may have been a member of MacRumors since 2008 but there's no reason for you to be a jerk to me. And no they don't mate. 10.3.2 could drop tomorrow after or before the earnings call since that "never once" thing can always be broken.
I'm not being a jerk. You were the one just called me out and told me I am wrong and should stop trying to be right all the time.
There is only one time in history that macOS and iOS public did not happen on the same day. macOS came the next day. But never, ever, ever has there been a macOS beta X and an iOS public in the same week (not talking about beta 1). That will not happen. That is why I can guarantee it.
Not this type of schedule. They literally go hand in hand. iOS and macOS, + tvOS and watchOS are all connected. They are all released together. That will never change. Come back in 20 hours and we will see who is right. For now this is moot.
