I was in the beginning of this year obsessed on waiting for M2 MacBook Air but at the same time I needed new laptop and went with a PC laptop running Linux. Looking back, I am happy with my decision but it shifted my interest on new M2 Mac Mini as my current Mac mini Late 2014 I fall back on when I need MacOS, got lot in the tooth and is slow.
I think one factor that will make the Air line quite interesting is the fact that Apple are still selling the M1 variant.
Far from decrying the move as Apple profiteering because they haven't cut the price, the upshot for people who already own it or were thinking of buying it new, refurbished, or used is that it'll probably continue to get MacOS updates for some time and might even get a future price cut if it lingers around for any length of time (beyond a further year or generation perhaps?).
If this thinking was applied to the Mini, the M1 model could linger around following an M2 refresh - which doesn't necessarily need to appear with base specs.
The classic 2012 MacBook Pro (and Mac mini 2012) was supported right up until October 2019's Catalina which will be receiving its final security updates this year. Yes, it sucks for people who bought the laptop in early 2016 that they only got 3 official MacOS versions but the hardware itself was very long in the tooth.
In a way, the odd models in Apple's lineup have been getting some love - the 2014 Mac mini was kept going until 2018 and therefore is still supported by Monterey even through the similar specified MacBook Pro from 2013 and 2014 were replaced within a year and ineligible.
The big shock has come with MacOS Ventura which cut a massive swathe through later Intel models, the next big model cuts will come in 2025 when non T2 CPU models will be cut I fear.
I've been considering an M1 Mini for some time to replace my 2012 model but now despite an expected price rise in the UK my thinking is that an M2 Mini would obviously receive more official MacOS versions for longer. Any MacOS updates beyond year 5 is down to Apple and it does look like they might be generous with buyers of their first ARM iterations.
In fact, even though the M1 MacBook Pro looks like it's been fully discontinued by Apple I would suppose that they would just keep supporting as long as M1 remained relevant to them in general.
The M2 mini should have a 24 GB option and an M2 Pro mini should support three displays and have a lot more compute. In tech, there's no harm in waiting.
That's if Apple release an M2 Pro mini - it wouldn't come this year while the MacBook Pro 14 and 16 are still on M1 Pro. 24Gb as an option in the M2 helps paper over the Pro sized gap in the line-up.
If Apple were ever to release an M2 Pro mini it would surely be the sweet spot for many and could steal sales off the Mac Studio.