Based on zero knowledge of what Nintendo is actually thinking, I would believe they would like to keep both a dedicated handheld/3DS or successor *and* a home console/Switch or successor, as then they would have profits from both consoles.
I believe they have given up on the idea that the handheld/3DS will be the first gaming device that a child will use. They have even said so, saying that they realize that kids playing with their parents phone is now the first gaming experience a child will now have.
A low cost handheld has (my opinion) immense appeal for parents and kids, something like a 2DS price range, as these can be made relatively cheaply, have interesting games, and not easily broken (or cheaply replaced if the kid drops it).
The Switch is a real "disruptive" device. It introduces a new capability that nobody is quite sure what the eventual impact will be. It could be a tremendous success, as "serious gamers" could potentially trade lower rez graphics for the ability to game on the go. Or not, that may be too much of a compromise. I'm not sure it would really be a 3DS/handheld replacement, as it just costs way too much. Look at how the sales for the 2DS skyrocketed after it was introduced. (Handhelds used to be fairly cheap, the GBA was $70).
We just don't know yet. I think Nintendo is keeping all options open and watching what the market decides. At some point if one system completely tanks, then I think they will make a tough decision, otherwise, they are going to hedge their bets.
I believe they have given up on the idea that the handheld/3DS will be the first gaming device that a child will use. They have even said so, saying that they realize that kids playing with their parents phone is now the first gaming experience a child will now have.
A low cost handheld has (my opinion) immense appeal for parents and kids, something like a 2DS price range, as these can be made relatively cheaply, have interesting games, and not easily broken (or cheaply replaced if the kid drops it).
The Switch is a real "disruptive" device. It introduces a new capability that nobody is quite sure what the eventual impact will be. It could be a tremendous success, as "serious gamers" could potentially trade lower rez graphics for the ability to game on the go. Or not, that may be too much of a compromise. I'm not sure it would really be a 3DS/handheld replacement, as it just costs way too much. Look at how the sales for the 2DS skyrocketed after it was introduced. (Handhelds used to be fairly cheap, the GBA was $70).
We just don't know yet. I think Nintendo is keeping all options open and watching what the market decides. At some point if one system completely tanks, then I think they will make a tough decision, otherwise, they are going to hedge their bets.