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dmccloud

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Sep 7, 2009
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My understanding is Ultra is not a single monolithic chip. Rather a System in Package with two Max die connected within the same package using UltraFusion interconnect?

All Mx parts are SoCs, even the base M1 and M2. Because why the M1 Ultra is slightly more than 2x the size of the M1 Max. With M1 Ultra, it's two M1 Max cores and the interconnect that comprise the total size of the SOC, but the interconnect is not something that's added after the fact. Rather, the M1 Ultra is built like that on the wafer itself rather than assembled from separate parts.
 
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steve123

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Aug 26, 2007
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All Mx parts are SoCs, even the base M1 and M2. Because why the M1 Ultra is slightly more than 2x the size of the M1 Max. With M1 Ultra, it's two M1 Max cores and the interconnect that comprise the total size of the SOC, but the interconnect is not something that's added after the fact. Rather, the M1 Ultra is built like that on the wafer itself rather than assembled from separate parts.
TechInsights did a tear down of the M1 Ultra.

The Apple M1 Ultra package drives the M1 Max system-on-chip (SoC) to its logical destination by using a silicon (Si) bridge die to connect two identical processors. The Si bridge ties the processors together and enables low resistance, low latency, and high bandwidth.

The bridge die is fabricated using TSMC's integrated fanout local silicon interconnect (InFO-L) technology. Apple calls it UltraFusion.

This is an actual look at the cross section of the M1 Ultra package:

1682626842387.jpeg
 
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steve123

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TSMC’s variant of InFO with integration of an LSI is called InFO-L or InFO-LSI, and follows a similar structure with the new addition of it integrating this new local silicon interconnect intermediary chip for communication between two chips.

TSMC describes the LSI as being either an active, or a passive chip, depending on chip designers needs and their cost sensitivities.


So it does look like InFO-L can include active circuits.

This is significant. If the process can be used for say, implementation of a PCIe switch, it would be possible to add this capability to the interconnect fabric without changing the SoC.
 
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senttoschool

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It seems working. Early rumors from MLID/DigiTimes (two sources that many consider inaccurate) claim that AMD will not use TSMC N3 for consumer chips in the next few years.
MLID is speculating like the rest of us.

It's not hard to guess what AMD will use for Zen5. It seems like they use a node for 2 generations of chips. Zen2 and Zen3 are on 7nm. Zen4 and Zen5 are on 5nm. Zen6 on 3nm.
 

deconstruct60

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Mar 10, 2009
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It seems working. Early rumors from MLID/DigiTimes (two sources that many consider inaccurate) claim that AMD will not use TSMC N3 for consumer chips in the next few years.


Maybe , maybe not. If go to MLID "Big Zen 5 leak " video he is saying that the "Turin Dense" Zen 5c is implemented in N3 with a 16 core chiplet . The later Strix Halo video has a 16 core Zen 5 chiplet. Coincidence ? That very high end "Apple M series" competitor has a separate GPU and CPU dies packaged together. One of those could be N3. The Strix Halo video also says that it isn't coming until Q3 or Q4 2024. The GPU chiplet with 40CU and a relatively gianormous cache would be a better candidate for N4P. And if just wanted to put a single "implementation" tag on the whole package , the GPU is the dominate contributor of internal die space. So it gets powerpoint slide labeled as N4P.

A bit skeptical how AMD goes to having 4-5 different uniquely custom designed APUs in their line up and still make money. Yeah, they are not 'broke' and just trying to keep the lights on now. But that is a lot for a just a fraction of the mobile Windows market. Intel isn't gong to collapse completely. And the AMD top end mobile range is copying intel of slapping in desktop chips clocked down to 'fit' 100W laptops. AMD's desktop is repurposed server chiplets down to desktops. So if there is a N3 , high core count server chiplet ... it could trickle down through to the high power consuming mobile stuff.


It would be a bit strange for AMD go all the way to the end of the N3 design cycle and then say "ah nevermind" and just walk 100% away from the investment they put in. Similarly picking a 'mobile systems fight' with Apple in late 2024 handcuffed to N4 when Apple has likely moved on to N3 ... good luck with that. Picking a fight with Intel's "2024 M-series" 'competitor'

I just wait until mid-2024 to start production likelihood that N3B or ( N3E if AMD did design but to that) would still be in "problem yield" zone. That would be a year ( 4 quarters) past when N3E started high volume ramp (and even longer for N3B). Skipping 2023 is much safer avoidance of N3 , but skipping 2H 2024 is kind of odd.
 
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deconstruct60

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TSMC’s variant of InFO with integration of an LSI is called InFO-L or InFO-LSI, and follows a similar structure with the new addition of it integrating this new local silicon interconnect intermediary chip for communication between two chips.

TSMC describes the LSI as being either an active, or a passive chip, depending on chip designers needs and their cost sensitivities.


So it does look like InFO-L can include active circuits.


InFO-LSI has size limits though. The tech that Apple used for M1 Ultra is limited to 1x reticle size. There is around 850 mm^2 range ( with varying tech in 800-900mm^2 range) . The M1 Max is about 420mm^2 . Two times that is 840mm^2. Which likely means Apple didn't have much wiggle room. The M2 Max ( and M2 and M2 Pro) are all bigger than the M1 predecessors. ( 'more stuff' added to the die and no process shrink) TSMC has been increasing the limits of the packaging technology. CoWoS has grown over last 2-4 years. InFO-LSI may or may not have scaled past 1x. The precision of the interposer alignment is far more critical.

Advanced%20Packaging%20Technology%20Leadership.mkv_snapshot_11.38_%5B2020.08.25_14.14.11%5D.jpg


The upside of InFO-LSI is that it is substantive cheaper than the alternative 3d stacked solution on LSI. ( and way better than InFo_OS due to narrower bump pitch which is going to boost Perf/Watt. Powering the connection gets easier. Far narrower bump pitch makes it harder to precisely combine them though. )


and

Advanced%20Packaging%20Technology%20Leadership.mkv_snapshot_16.44_%5B2020.08.25_14.14.27%5D.jpg



If Apple had been needing something with more than two dies, it is likely they have to shift to CoWoS-LSI for the baseline packaging anyway.


So while putting a relatively very narrow PCI-e 'shim' between two Max sized dies , if the Max dies are soaking up 98+% of the reticle limit , there is no room to put a third member into the mix of any substantive size.

There is another tech that still using a limited LSI interposer, but it substantively more expensive and complicated.
Still have multiple dies stacked (and soldered ) in a vertical fashion. [ The smaller size of the LSI interposer is still in play in CoWoS-LSI , there are must multiple LSI 'routing' dies to place ( the purple like rectangles in above left that overlap between HBM and ASIC ) . If had a PCI-e 'shim' between two 'Max' dies then would need two LSI dies in the solution. 'Die 1' <-- ultrafusion --> 'PCI-e die <-- ultrafusion --> ' Die 2' . ]


Adding the PCIe controller(s) to the LSI layer has issues. One is thermal issues have to balance. Powering PCI-e communications over far larger distances isn't going to be thermally cheap. PCI-e v4 , 5 , 6 all make that harder (so that problem is not going away). The other major problem is that UltraFusion is so incredibily wide. There 10,000 connections to transfer between dies. ( it is more usually 'wide' than 'fast'. A 16 controller or aggregate 64 PCI-e lane controllers are 3 orders of magnitude less wide ) To keep very low latencies you want those paths between chips to be quite short and quite straight. The issue is where the copious empty spare area with no channels cutting through it in your limited size LSI chip ? Cherry on top of that is the signal drivers off chip for PCIe ... not scaling with node shrinks very well either. So not only not large empty blocks , but also have 'chunky' stuff need to put in those empty blocks. [ PCI-e isn't making the main die primarily because there is no space for it given the other priorities. ]

You have also now going connections going out the bottom of the LSI have to pass through and properly connect up. Also need to deliver power up to the LSI chip also.

Just because can possibly put active stuff in the LSI layer , it is still going to have to primarily accomplish UltraFusio missing of " internal die mesh to internal die mesh " connection. That is just way , way , way wider than the "single HBM package stack to ASIC" kind of wide.

An active interposer with perhaps some limited SRAM cache that only comes in/out via the communication channels to the ports has substantively less limitations. ( still have to deliver power , but there is really not much output ( except perhaps some diagnostic data channels that are not normally used. Nothing high performance or bandwidth. ) Similar if adding some data protocol and policy adapters ( data in/out still on same paths that passive interposer had. ). That would help if combining two things that were custom designed to work together well.

Active isn't going to mean can throw the 'kitchen sink' down there and it still works well. Nor is there tons of upside in making the LSI relatively large. TSMC probably has limits on its size also.


This is significant. If the process can be used for say, implementation of a PCIe switch, it would be possible to add this capability to the interconnect fabric without changing the SoC.

The other factors get in the way of making that possible.

The bigger questionable part is whether want to keep on using the laptop optimized lay of the Max as the basic building block. That doesn't make much sense. Even if shoehorn two laptop Maxes together there are other baggage that comes along with that in terms of layout and scale.

If Apple is deeply wedded to spreading the die design costs of the Mac Studio and Mac Pro over the MBP 14/16" sales than there are other tweaks. Like the two dies not being 100% identical. It is weaving in the MBP usages into the mix that is generating part of the problem. What I/O units are on the main die just could be different for the desktop only SoC solutions.
 
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deconstruct60

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Mar 10, 2009
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If true, could this mean that the M3 Pro would consume less?

Not necessarily. Not sure how a 14" tablet is a reasonable 'hand held' device (besides for Shaquille O'Neal ) . If the thickness isn't held down by the "thinnest possible" politburo, then more screen can also mean more battery. It would be heading toward where the larger Windows tablets ( e.g. Surface Pro 9 .) The Intel versions can have something like a Core i7-1255U in that maxes out at 55W. There is a Qualcomm SQ3 (a tweaked Snapdragon).

The M3 Pro in a "not so portable" iPad would be a contingent counter move if Qualcomm/Nuvia actually delivered on promises and systems like Surface Pro n+1 were lots more competitive.

IF Apple doesn't drop the 12" iPad Pro and just piles this even more expensive option on top..... probably even more so less constrained on thickness and portability (weight). 0.4" thick and weight around 2 lbs.

More so fall-out from the Mac system not going to embrace touchscreens.
 

deconstruct60

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Mar 10, 2009
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Is that really likely? M3 Pro having equal to or lower power draw than M2? I doubt Apple will increase the power draw in iPad.

going from a 12.9" to 14.1" screen the weight of the system is definitely going relatively substantively up. If not trying to maximize thinness and battery life it opens up the door for something with far less portability than the historical iPad.
They are not necessarily constrained to a M2 power limits.
 
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deconstruct60

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Mar 10, 2009
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I would love to be able to run an Apple Watch Ultra & a 14.1" iPad Studio for my daily cell phone & computer needs...!

Doubtful that would an effective replacement pair for most folks. Likely going to be some "doom and gloom" thrown at macOS , but the utility and pricing here isn't totally going to overlap. There are some folks who will throw lots of extra money at small decreases in overall system weight. That combo will probably do well with that. However, that isn't the bulk of where most iPhone/Mac combo users are.


The watch wouldn't be a "phone" replacement. Decent chance would need to add a cellar modem to the "iPad Studio" to replace the phone. Which will drive up the cost.

The "iPad Studio" would be a good system to soak up M3 Pro with broken GPU cores , broken display and/or thunderbolt controllers ( at most 2 screens and one port only needed ) . Also possibly some dies that make it stability for "turbo" mode (but more stable in a clock capped contents ). It would not only get crippled/defective dies, but likely not going to get the 'best of the best' dies either (depending upon the 'thinness' constraints). More so a tool to get incrementally better economies of scale with 'Pro' class dies by adding another consumer.

M3 Pro is likely going to have a substantively higher RAM floor than the M3 (or previous M2 , etc.). So the price point on the 14.1 system is likely going substantively higher also. If that is the case doubtful that this will be a 12.1" replacement. (won't hit the price points. ) Instead it would be an "even more expensive" option. (above a heft chunk of the MBA 13" pricing). And by time have slapped a keyboard-cover on it to get the "mac laptop" keyboard functionality back it will be the more expensive item. May or may not weight less.

"iPad Studio" would be heavy enough that would want to leave it behind when long jaunts away from "desk" so cellular modem there also. Celluar communication power costs aren't smaller just because in a watch. 2-3 hours of really active network usage and battery will fade. ( now have less capacity than a phone).

M3 Pro and larger screen could easily be a backslide in battery life (relative to historical iPads). And not any better than a Mac laptop in the same class SoC. And "want to go all day without plugging in" will go with the smaller iPad Pro options. Even if the M3 Pro came with some magical , revolutionary better battery life .... the M3 would likely also (and the power consuming screens are smaller than the 14.1).


Keeping Windows Tablets "in check" is iPad's job, not the Mac's. (for better or worse).
 

steve123

macrumors 65816
Aug 26, 2007
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M3 Pro and larger screen could easily be a backslide in battery life (relative to historical iPads)
I think Apple might consider 14.1" so they could increase the battery size to maintain "go all day". Is there is any other compelling reason to do so?
 

dmccloud

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Sep 7, 2009
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Even with a larger display, a 14.1" iPad could have the same (if not improved) battery life due simply to a larger battery in the device. This becomes even more true if they use an M3 in the device, as the smaller process node should also result in lower power consumption across the board.
 

deconstruct60

macrumors G5
Mar 10, 2009
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I think Apple might consider 14.1" so they could increase the battery size to maintain "go all day". Is there is any other compelling reason to do so?

They have to increase the battery size regardless because the 14.1" screen is going to soak up more power also. Even more so when run at higher refresh. The screen is a non-trivial consumer of power. The question will be just how much battery weight increase will be 'tolerated'.

Paired with an M3 ... .yes. However, if they are committed to using the M3 Pro , are they going to do that also? Maybe , maybe not. They are pushing the envelope on price so the numbers sold isn't going to very large. To split the pool more and have to do another system board (and possibly another battery pack ) could be a bit much market fragmentation.

If the M3 is paired with the smaller screens they'll beat the 14.1 model. So "go all day" as a primarily sales value driver... aren't going touch that. And the problem they run into if the performance is the same on three iPad Pros there is less to 'draw' folks into the most expensive model. There is no increase in workload coverage. Not much of a "I got something those other folks don't have" bragging rights. And pretty likely not doing so well against the upper end Windows tablets when AMD/Intel/Qualcomm introduce the 2024-25 timeframe models.


In most mainstream usage, there likely would not be a huge battery life backslide. Cruising the web, watching video ... there probably isn't a huge gap between M3 and M3 Pro. Since Apple battery life metrics are completely detached from having most of the SoC cores active the numbers probably won't look bad. It could be a incrementally small backslide that was offset because the screen size increase was "worth it" .

If Apple passes on a M3 Pro in the 14.1 model is likely based more so on 'cost' increase (too high a selling price point) and/or thickness/weight.
 

deconstruct60

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Mar 10, 2009
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This becomes even more true if they use an M3 in the device, as the smaller process node should also result in lower power consumption across the board.

Lower power mostly comes when don't take the performance increase opportunities. If push a heavier workload onto the system pretty good chance not going to see a large decrease. If trying to go 14.1 sized screens to bring more users with higher fractions of concurrent multitasking workloads then power consumption is up.

14.1 screen to do what could be done on a regular entry iPad with just a bigger screen. Yeah, that will be lower power consuming.
 

senttoschool

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A 14” iPad will be huge. If a 14” MacBook can fit an M2 Max, then a 14” iPad will have no trouble fitting a 30-40 watt chip.
Has nothing to do with the width/length. It has everything to do with the thickness and the ability to fit a fan into the chassis. A Macbook Air 13.3" is actually 14.64 inches diagonal because it has fairly big bezels. You can't put an M2 Pro/Max into a Macbook Air without it throttling its power back to an M2. Heck, even an M2 needs a fan to fully utilize its full potential.

You can't possibly cool a 30-40w chip in a fanless iPad without drastic throttling.

And no, Apple isn't going to put a fan inside an iPad.
 

MayaUser

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Nov 22, 2021
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this is just a rumour...and since its a rumour about next year...so no point ...probably months from now "new report" will come that 14" ipad is delayed or something like that..
 

MayaUser

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Nov 22, 2021
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Has nothing to do with the width/length. It has everything to do with the thickness and the ability to fit a fan into the chassis. A Macbook Air 13.3" is actually 14.64 inches diagonal because it has fairly big bezels. You can't put an M2 Pro/Max into a Macbook Air without it throttling its power back to an M2. Heck, even an M2 needs a fan to fully utilize its full potential.

You can't possibly cool a 30-40w chip in a fanless iPad without drastic throttling.

And no, Apple isn't going to put a fan inside an iPad.
he said huge...so it means with everything from width/length to thickness as well
And lets be honest a binned M3 pro will probably work like the current M2 Max in the current 14" Mbp with fans
But this discussion is pointless since this is just a rumour for a "next year" so i would definetly take this with a grain of salt
 

leman

macrumors Core
Oct 14, 2008
19,521
19,674
Has nothing to do with the width/length. It has everything to do with the thickness and the ability to fit a fan into the chassis. A Macbook Air 13.3" is actually 14.64 inches diagonal because it has fairly big bezels. You can't put an M2 Pro/Max into a Macbook Air without it throttling its power back to an M2. Heck, even an M2 needs a fan to fully utilize its full potential.

You can't possibly cool a 30-40w chip in a fanless iPad without drastic throttling.

And no, Apple isn't going to put a fan inside an iPad.

Yeah, what you write makes sense. Then again, 14" iPad is pretty much unprecedented, no idea where they will go with it. To be honest, I am sceptical. Even M1 is a massive overkill for the iPad as it is due to software limitations, what would be the point of an even bigger chip?
 

senttoschool

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he said huge...so it means with everything from width/length to thickness as well
And lets be honest a binned M3 pro will probably work like the current M2 Max in the current 14" Mbp with fans
But this discussion is pointless since this is just a rumour for a "next year" so i would definetly take this with a grain of salt
No matter how thick it gets, you need a fan for an Pro/Max SoC. Even the M2 Mini has a fan and the M2 Pro can draw more than 2x the power of an M2.

An M1/M2 is already overkill for an iPad. An M3 should approach the performance of an M2 Pro already. There's no point in putting an M3 Pro in an iPad.
 
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