I know this thread was started months ago, but I just think smaller tablets are becoming a harder sell for a lot of people. I think Apple recognizes this, especially seeing how popular the larger iPhone has become. When I went plus with my iPhone I virtually never used my iPad mini anymore. Things that I would always pick up the iPad for went back to my phone. I know 5.5 to 7.9 is significant, but for a lot of things it just wasn't significant enough to pick up the mini. I wanted an iPad for textbooks, so I got the iPad Air 2. I've found having it that some of that same stuff that shifted from the mini to the plus iPhone went back to the 9.7 inch iPad.
I'm not saying they won't ever update the mini, but I don't think it will get much focus from them if they do.
I think your use case / reaction to ever larger screens on iPhone is about average/most common amongst users. Given the rumors that in 2018 will see a >6” screen on an iPhone, Apple plans probably do not forecast for an upgraded mini iPad.
On the other hand, there are use cases for the iPad mini that are outside of this “normal” use:
- kids without phones
- iPhone users that prefer the 4” screens
One has to assume that Apple thinks the 2017 iPad should be the ideal path for these other users.
I'm going to go out on a limb and make a series of conclusions based almost entirely on my own assumptions and logic (as faulty as those may be--I'll let you be the judge):
I think there is significant demand for a comfortable device purely for casual consumption (no real desire for productivity). Obviously more so if that device can be combined with another device like a phone or a larger tablet, but even as a standalone dedicated device, I think the demand is there (as long as the price is also there of course).
That purely casual consumption device of choice seems to range from the 5.5" iPhone to the 9.7" iPad for most people.
If 5.5 and 9.7 are the lower and higher ends of the bell curve, then the ideal size should actually be right in the middle, ie. the size of the mini.
So for purely casual consumption--a significant mainstream demand--among Apple devices, all things being equal,
the mini is the most ideal.
So then let's say, ok, a lot of people have the iPhone Plus, and though it's not the ideal size, most of them don't want the mini because they already have the 5.5" and it's within the range.
But we need to keep in mind that while the plus user base has grown tremendously over the last several years, the majority of iPhone users still have one of the smaller 4.7" or 4" models.
That means that a significant portion of the
majority of iPhone users want a purely casual consumption device, for which iPad mini is the best choice.
Therefore, it seems reasonable to believe there is significant demand for the mini.
So if it's not lack of demand keeping Apple from updating the mini, what is? I think it has almost entirely to do with lack of profit. It appears that because it has to be priced so low, each mini sale doesn't generate enough profit to be worth it to Apple, despite demand. Apple already has its obligatory low entry iPad. They don't need another cheap device detracting further from their more profitable iOS devices. The mini occupies an awkward space that's inconvenient and possibly detrimental for Apple to keep filling. And I think that's the real reason it's not updated. The death is not so natural. Demand is there.
(I've heard more good arguments made on either side. But I'm choosing to stop here because those arguments seem to go down an endless path of counter-arguments.)