I am 99% close to buying the MBA M1. Should I postpone my purchase then?
Its confusing because many are panicking but many are also saying not to worry...
There's a risk with any new-ish machine. Don't be paralysed by that. However, it depends on what you personally deem acceptable.
In terms of this particular problem, it may be that the worrying readings are just wrong. At the very least, there's a huge amount of uncertainty in the figures and how they translate into life-time If not, the handful of worst cases (100-200 TBW in a couple of months) could, if real, kill the system in a couple of years - but they do seem to be extreme cases. People who are seeing ~10-30 TBW/month seem more common, and that shouldn't be a problem for 8 years or so... Others are seeing far less than that.
(Observation - people don't install software like Homebrew and smartmontools if they're just doing spreadsheets and updating TwitBook. The first reporters of this are likely not "typical users" - doesn't mean they're dishonest, just that their workloads aren't necessarily representative).
However, this still highlights a couple of home truths:
1. Soldered-in SSDs - one of the components most likely to fail - are a bad idea. Full stop. An SSD is a consumable item with a limited number of writes, so it should be replaceable. I don't think there's anything good about a system which will
predictably be "beyond economical repair" within 10 years... and even if the current scare is false, it is still perfectly feasible that an OS bug, a rogue app or just very heavy swap use could greatly reduce that lifespan. The current lifespan of SSDs is "acceptable" but there's not sufficient headroom to justify making them non-replaceable.
Now, every other computer you might consider has
other pros, cons and design flaws so that doesn't mean "never buy a Mac" but the soldered-in SSD is a "minus" point that you need to weigh in to your deliberation. Some people will be happy if it lasts 3-4 years (...although it might not keep its resale value after that the way past Macs have).
2. Ignore the nonsense that some people have posted about M1 RAM going twice as far as on Intel "because Unified Memory". Sorry - 1GB of data on Intel is 1GB of data. There
are theoretical ways in which UMA
might reduce RAM requirements for frame buffers etc.
in specific, M1-optimised apps/workloads but nothing that's gonna make your RAM go twice as far - if your apps need to hold
x GB of data in memory on Intel they'll probably need to hold
x GB of data in memory on M1, and if your Mac doesn't have that much RAM it will start swapping to disc. Quite likely, the test being done on the Intel Mac wasn't limited by RAM in the first place (lots of videos failed to show the critical 'Memory pressure' reading) - or the M1 was swapping like crazy but it didn't show because of the fast disc I/O on the M1, plus the M1 being generally faster at some jobs (like video codecs).
Bottom line there - don't buy a MB Air to do the job of an iMac or 16" MBP with 32GB+ of RAM just because some benchmarks show it having comparable performance. "proper" 16"MBP/5k iMac replacements (hopefully with larger RAM options) should be along soon and if your workflow really is RAM intensive you ought to see a significant benefit.
Remember: the Air, the Mini and the 2-port 13" MBP are Apple's entry-level computers for basic office/communication/entertainment - it's great that they'll also cope with casual video editing/photo work/audio production/number crunching, but they're not
for people who are doing those things 5 days a week. It's not rocket surgery that RAM-intensive work with insufficient RAM will hammer the SSD with swap usage. Again - up to you, depending in what you want the machine for.