Just tracked down my crazy UPS route from last year.. first scan 27th sept, delivered 3rd Oct - via 7 countries!
Based on this assumption of 6 days transit and a best estimate of apple hitting the 13th from the 13-20 delivery estimate, I could say it leaves China on the 7th. Say it went ‘preparing for dispatch’ 2 days before then it gets me to my guess of seeing order updates around the 5th. Worst case is the come in the 20th which means no update on orders until 12th or so
Out For Delivery
10/03/2016 5:00 A.M.
Arrival Scan
Stansted, GB
10/03/2016 4:15 A.M.
Departure Scan
10/03/2016 12:35 A.M.
Arrival Scan
Koeln, DE
10/03/2016 12:26 A.M.
Departure Scan
Koeln, DE
10/02/2016 9:58 P.M.
Import Scan
10/02/2016 9:41 P.M.
Import Scan
10/02/2016 6:25 P.M.
Arrival Scan
Dubai, AE
10/02/2016 1:52 P.M.
Departure Scan
10/02/2016 12:06 P.M.
Arrival Scan
Mumbai, IN
10/02/2016 11:09 A.M.
Departure Scan
10/02/2016 9:38 A.M.
Arrival Scan
Taoyuan, TW
10/02/2016 4:51 A.M.
Departure Scan
10/02/2016 12:03 A.M.
Arrival Scan
Incheon, KR
10/02/2016 12:10 A.M.
Departure Scan
Incheon, KR
10/01/2016 10:25 P.M.
Departure Scan
Incheon, KR
09/30/2016 8:01 P.M.
Arrival Scan
ZhengZhou, CN
09/30/2016 4:51 P.M.
Departure Scan
ZhengZhou, CN
09/29/2016 2:21 P.M.
Sender tendered the shipment to UPS after the latest pickup time for the requested service. A day delay is likely.
ZhengZhou, CN
09/27/2016 7:30 P.M.
Arrival Scan
09/27/2016 6:57 P.M.
Departure Scan
09/27/2016 5:35 P.M.
Location Scan
09/27/2016 3:37 P.M.
Origin Scan
CN
09/27/2016 4:17 A.M.