Me too.
I feel that statistics is a good and easy I’d you’re looking for patterns to find out what could happen in the future but if you’re seriously looking for patterns there would have to be more parameters included unless you’re just looking to place a good guess for something (in this situation we’re all guessing and it’s not even much more we could do).
I’m saying it’s a lot going on in this very moment so even if it’s very likely for Apple to release the new MacBook Pro’s in the fall or even winter I feel that these three parameters makes it just as likely as it’s not:
- Covid-situation
- Apple Silicon transition (and being more than midway through it, if Tim’s countdown started WWDC20)
- Over 1,5 years since the 16” launched/updated.
I therefore believe it would be quite dumb for Apple to wait any longer than they have to now that the M1 excitement Is fading and it’s not as new and shiny anymore.
I guess most of us waiting the MBP release to be sooner than fall are expecting M1X or whatever it will be called and I am too but I would not be very surprised if Apple actually releases an M2X (What would be the equivalent to M1 X-successor/M1X gen2, that they skipped the M1X and just went away and have worked on the M2X as soon as they could) but as I’ve mentioned before I have very little processor-dev knowledge so it’s just a hunch. I just remember most arguments against this is that Apple’s most important product is the iPhone and that M1 (A14X) is based on the A14.
I’m just thinking and saying tgar maybe iPhone stays the most important product but that the team is instead working on the Mac-Silicon to make sure this transition really blows most people’s mind and problems are at a minimum (even if the team goes back to working on the A-series chips after the transition, or whatever). Since WWDC didn’t really reveal any big news that would mean that the A15/iPhone-chip will have to be making big advances in performance or efficiency maybe that could be a sign of this. I just don’t think that old patterns have to mean anything these days until we go back to normal and are through the AS-transition.
Anyway, I was mostly going to say that A14 might already be done and same for M2 and M2X because Apple can of course launch a product with a chip “newer” than the chip in the iPhone, because iPhone release is fall no matter what and I don’t think they will do a summer release after just 8 or even 10 months just because their chip is done or even the whole phone. They have nothing to gain out of speeding up the iPhone releases, is even as far as saying that it’s kind of an issue iPhone release are even once a year, and I think we see it in less and less fun / useful functions (talking amount now) being implemented but now that they established that pattern and they have competitors doing the same or even releasing it more often they can’t really change the direction unless they can reinvent the whole thing or such, or they can because their Apple but they probably know it will hurt their business or maybe rather their share holders (which might be less than happy about it). Maybe I’m even talking against myself here saying it’s hard for them to break patterns but I’m also saying they kind of reinvented the MacBook with AS-chips inside so now it’s no longer a radiator with a computer-function bur just a computer.
I’m probably way of with my thought and this “theory”, it’s just a hunch I haven’t been able to shake, I might not be very good in explaining why I even have a slight belief in that this might happen and I kind of blame that on writing this on a iPhone that is too unresponsive (only when writing on Macrumors and some other forum) to type at my preferred tempo and English not being my mother tongue amount other things. I also feel like remember that Apple almost always disappoint so it’s good to set your expectations high! That way it’s likelier that the next best thing (the most likely thing) happens than the third best thing (like Apple putting the M1 but with just 2 extra GPU cores in it).
Wow this post is almost nothing about what I was going to post about, a well.
Sorry for the long yadayada. I’m just really hoping for a new MBP in the next two months, and even more so hoping we’ll be a bit impressed and preferably both in performance and price (if it wasn’t for my 3D modeling hobby I could use a MB Air for my music production but I prefer to keep my next computer for a few years so I’m thinking it’s better spend some more and hope it’s worth the cost and that I make that money back in not too long time. Ops yada yada.
Okay so what was it I wanted to say, right. I believe it’s not too unlikely Apple will let WWDC sink in and then announce a new event in a few weeks, for the new products (maybe not just MBP but also Intel-equivalent Mac mini and the two MBP sizes. Maybe also the bigger iMac but I feel that one is more likely this fall though for some reason).
I realize they might have postponed it all though (maybe thr MBP’s was meant to launch WWDC..) and make an event for them all early this fall and It’s really just guesswork but I really have hope for Mark Gurman and I hope the other rumors have bearing and mean something because wow I need a new computer not only yesterday but even last year....
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