it’s politics, so whatever happens will defeat logic and common sense.
Not just "defeat logic and common sense" but rather, instead, indulge a populist appetite for a visible sacrificial offering.
Actually, I'm astounded - flabbergasted, in fact - by the extraordinary lapse in intelligence - this must have been long in the planning and commanded considerable resources, and not to have noticed is an egregious lapse, (and no, current deep divisions in Israeli society notwithstanding, I don't believe that this is a case of deliberate oversight as
@daneoni thinks may have been a possibility).
Moreover, despite the information and intelligence overload, one wonders whether people simply switched off as it was a major Jewish holiday.
It’s time for me to do what Kissinger used to do to prepare for his diplomatic stuff: read books on a nation and/or a conflict. Does anyone have any recommendation on books on Israel and Palestine and the conflict? No biographies or diaries please, I am looking for somewhat balanced history books.
Agree about the need to inform oneself; however, this is an area where I really do lack specialist knowledge, and expertise.
Re recommendations, mine are ancient (as in around thirty years old - I did some serious reading around the time of the invasion of Kuwait) and not necessarily balanced.
Unfortunately, this (seeking out "somewhat balanced history books") is one of the key challenges when seeking to inform yourself on this area, as most commentators are not balanced, or impartial.
At the time, and a little later, I did read books by Robert Fisk (an excellent and serious and very well informed journalist, but I would not call him impartial; in fact, I have attended talks he gave - again, excellent, exceptionally well informed and sourced, but hardly impartial), and Conor Cruise O'Brien (who was an excellent writer, also extremely well informed - and also not impartial, but from a different perspective).
I must see if I can identify contemporary, or relatively recent - well written, well researched, and reasonably balanced works on this area.